The New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians wrap up their six-game regular-season series with a three-game set finale at Progressive Field in Cleveland on Sunday afternoon. Friday night’s opener was postponed due to bad weather, so New York and Cleveland played a doubleheader on Saturday, which has been excluded from the analysis. Let’s see what’s the best Yankees vs Guardians betting pick for Sunday, July 3, 2022.
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Yankees vs Guardians Betting Pick
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, July 3, 2022.
Why Bet The Yankees:
✅ Jordan Montgomery will get the nod for the Yankees, and the 29-year-old left-hander will try to bounce back from a couple of rough outings against Tampa Bay and Oakland. Still, Montgomery hasn’t been charged for a loss since April 21 and holds a 3-1 record, 3.27 ERA, and 1.02 WHIP in 15 starts (85.1 innings pitched) in 2022. His sinker has a terrific minus-10 run value, and Jordan uses it 35.4 percent of the time.
✅ The Guardians have struggled at the dish in the last couple of weeks, posting a .228/.299/.365 slash line with 11 home runs and 24 doubles across 14 games and 447 at-bats. They hold a 73 OPS+ against the left-handed pitchers in 2022.
✅ Triston McKenzie (4-6; 4.03 ERA) was projected to get the nod Saturday but was moved to the final game of the series. The 24-year-old right-hander has been a disaster as of late, allowing a whopping ten home runs in his previous five starts and 29.1 frames of work. Over his previous two appearances, McKenzie has yielded 13 earned runs on 17 hits through 10.1 innings.
New York Yankees
The Yankees entered Saturday’s twin bill carrying the MLB-best 56-21 record. They were comfortably topping the AL East, 12 games ahead of the Toronto Blue Jays. The Yankees’ plus-150 run differential was the best in baseball, too.
Jordan Montgomery went 2-0 with a 3.66 ERA in five starts in June. Last Monday, he yielded five earned runs on six hits across 6.2 frames in a 9-5 home victory to the lowly Oakland Athletics but didn’t factor into the decision.
The 39-34 Guardians were sitting at the second spot in the AL Central on Saturday, a game and a half behind the Minnesota Twins and four games ahead of the third-placed Chicago White Sox. Cleveland has dropped six of its previous nine games overall but finished June with a couple of straight wins over the Twins.
The Guardians need more from Triston McKenzie, whose FIP sits at 4.83 for the season. McKenzie has already allowed 16 home runs in 13 starts and one relief appearance in 2022. Last Monday, Triston was obliterated for seven earned runs across six frames in a heavy 11-1 defeat to Minnesota.