The New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles play a three-game series at Camden yards this weekend, so here’s the best betting pick for the middle contest Saturday night along with the latest odds for this American League East showdown.
The Yankees are -167 road favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook, while the Orioles are listed as +154 moneyline dogs with a total of 9.0 runs. These two divisional foes have already played a couple of series so far this season, and the Yankees are 4-3 in seven tilts against the O’s.
The Bombers are winning on the back of their pitching staff
The New York Yankees have won 11 of their last 15 games excluding Friday night’s opener against Baltimore to improve to 20-17 on the season after a rather poor start. However, the Yankees continue to struggle at the plate, slashing just .210/.317/.341 in May. Their offense is the seventh-worst in the majors, scoring only 3.86 runs per game.
On the other side of the ball, the Bombers are doing a great job. New York’s pitching staff owns the fourth-lowest ERA in baseball (3.22), and the Yankees are yielding just 3.65 runs per contest (tied-6th in the majors).
Domingo German will toe the slab for the Yankees on Saturday, looking to improve his 2-2 record out of the first six starts in 2021. The 28-year-old righty sports a 4.02 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and a solid 31/6 K/BB ratio across 31.1 innings of work.
Last time out, German yielded a couple of earned runs on five hits through 6.1 frames in a no-decision against the Nationals this past Sunday (New York won eventually, 3-2). He’s 5-0 with a 2.41 ERA in five career starts and a pair of relief appearances against Baltimore.
The Orioles sit bottom of the AL East
There’s some stiff competition in the AL East, so the 16-21 Baltimore Orioles were sitting bottom of the standings on Friday afternoon, trailing three games behind the fourth-placed Tampa Bay Rays. The O’s had dropped five of their last six games before Friday’s opener against the Yankees, allowing 32 runs during that six-game stretch.
Baltimore allows 4.27 runs per contest (17th in the MLB) and scores just 3.73 in a return (25th). The O’s have the fourth-worst on-base percentage in the majors (.291) and are batting .237 through their previous 11 games (18th).
Jorge Lopez will get the starting nod Saturday, and the 28-year-old right-hander is 1-3 in seven starts this season. He sports a poor 5.63 ERA along with a 1.25 WHIP and 30/11 K/BB ratio across 32 frames of work.
Lopez met the Yankees twice in 2021, going 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA in the process and surrendering six earned runs on seven hits and five walks through 8.2 innings of work.
- 9-3 in the last 12 games overall
- 24-6 in the last 30 games against Baltimore
- 1-5 in the last six games overall
- 5-20 in the last 25 home tilts against the Yankees
Domingo German had his best game of the season on April 28, tossing seven scoreless innings in a 7-0 victory at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. He fanned six while surrendering just three hits to the O’s.
The current Orioles are batting a miserable .130 against German (11-for-59) while posting a .331 OPS. On the other side, the current Yankees are batting .298 against Jorge Lopez (17-for-71) while recording a .822 OPS.
The Yankees are desperate to get things going offensively, and this game seems like a perfect opportunity for a bounce-back performance. Give me the visitors at the moneyline odds.
Pick: Take New York Yankees at -167
Considering the stats and teams’ current form, we shouldn’t see more than nine runs in total, but the totals are a tricky wager here. The Yankees’ offense can explode anytime soon and score a bunch of runs on its own, so I would stick with the visitors to win.
The under is 11-2 in the last 13 encounters between the Yankees and O’s excluding Friday’s game, and it is 6-1 through their first seven meetings of the season.
Pick: Go under 9.0 runs at -110