The New York Yankees face off against the Baltimore Orioles on Thursday afternoon, as the two AL East foes wrap up their four-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, so here’s the best Yankees vs. Orioles betting pick along with the latest odds update on William Hill Sportsbook.
The Orioles won the opener on Monday, 4-2, upsetting the odds as +148 home dogs, while the Yankees bounced back on Tuesday and beat the O’s 5-1 as -175 road favorites. New York is listed as a -163 fave to win the closing contest, while the totals are set at 9.5 runs.
The Yankees finally found their groove on Tuesday
The New York Yankees have struggled mightily at the plate so far this season, but they hit the ball hard against the Orioles on Tuesday and stormed the front with four runs through the first four innings. They finished with 12 hits and 23 total bases, while the Yankees’ defense did an excellent job, limiting Baltimore to just one run on seven hits and eight total bases.
New York is scoring only 3.57 runs per contest (27th in the MLB). The Yankees are 28th in the majors in batting average (.210) and slugging percentage (.362) which tell you enough about their offensive woes this season.
Jordan Montgomery will get the starting call for the Yankees on Thursday, and the 28-year-old southpaw is 1-1 in four starts this term. He owns a 4.57 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and 23/7 K/BB ratio across 21.2 innings of work.
Montgomery is 3-1 with a 2.51 ERA in eight career starts against Baltimore. Last season, he met the Orioles once and beat them while yielding no runs on just four hits through six frames of work.
The Orioles continue with their on-off form
The 10-13 Baltimore Orioles were tied with the Yankees for the fourth spot in the AL East on Wednesday. They’ve been pretty much hit-or-miss thus far, as the O’s bats have had a lot of bad days in the office.
Baltimore is tallying 3.78 runs per game (25th in the MLB), and the Orioles rank 29th in on-base percentage (.287) and 20th in slugging percentage (.373). They miss Anthony Santander (2 HR, 8 RBI) due to an ankle injury, so Trey Mancini and Maikel Franco lead the way, combining for 32 RBI thus far.
Jorge Lopez will take the mound for the O’s in this one, and the 28-year-old righty is 1-3 in four starts this term. Lopez owns a horrible 8.15 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, and 18/7 K/BB ratio through 17.2 innings of work. He’s 1-2 with a 6.62 ERA in four career starts against the Yankees including a heavy loss at Yankee Stadium on April 5, 2021. Lopez allowed four earned runs in a 7-0 defeat, yielding three hits and three free passes across 4.2 innings.
- 15-5 in the last 20 games against Baltimore
- 6-12 in the last 18 games against the American League
- 4-16 in the last 20 home tilts against the Yankees
The Yankees are slowly building up their form, but that’s still far away from an elite level. They should continue improving in this one against Jorge Lopez who’s been terrible in three of his four starts this season.
On the other side, Jordan Montgomery knows the O’s well, so I hope he’ll put on a solid performance. Baltimore’s current lineup has a .214 slugging percentage against Montgomery. Furthermore, the Yankees’ relievers own the second-best ERA in baseball (2.28), so give me the visitors to win straight up.
Pick: Take New York Yankees at -163
The Yankees clobbered three solo homers on Tuesday, and I’m expecting them to torture Jorge Lopez and The Orioles’ bullpen that is surprisingly fifth in the majors with a 3.00 ERA. New York has so many dangerous weapons on its lineup, so it’s hard to bet on the under even though both bullpens have been outstanding so far this season.
Excluding Wednesday’s clash, the under has hit in six of the last seven encounters between the Yankees and Orioles. Also, six of Baltimore’s last seven games went in the under, so I have to go against the betting trends. Still, the Yankees at moneyline odds are my top betting pick here.
Pick: Go over 9.5 runs at -110