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mets vs braves
October 2nd, 2022

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Betting Stats, Pick & Prediction – 10/02/22

Vincent Senick Vincent Senick

The National League East is up for grabs when the New York Mets (98-60, 47-33 away) visit the Atlanta Braves (99-59, 54-26 home) in the final game of their series Sunday night. Currently, the Braves lead the Mets by one game in the NL East. The loser of the division will occupy the first NL Wild Card spot. This game will air live on ESPN. PointsBet has the opening line at New York +110 and the over at 7.5 runs scored.

Pete Alonso has been mashing this season as he leads New York with 40 home runs and 131 RBIs. Jeff McNeil has a team high .323 batting average on the year. The Mets are hitting .258 and the pitching staff has combined for a 3.60 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.

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Austin Riley is having a big season for Atlanta as he leads the team with 38 home runs and Matt Olsen has knocked in 99 RBIs. Dansby Swanson has a team high .278 batting average. The Braves are hitting .253 and the pitchers have recorded a 3.41 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.

Mets vs Braves Pick & Prediction

Last time out, Atlanta took the division lead with a 4-2-win Saturday night. New York took an early 1-0 lead in the top of the first inning, but Matt Olson tied it up for the Braves in the bottom of the fourth inning. New York retook the lead in the top of the fifth, thanks to a Jeff McNeil single, but the Dansby Swanson hit a two-run home run in the bottom of the fifth to give Atlanta the lead. Matt Olson added an insurance run with a solo shot in the bottom of the seventh inning. Atlanta took outhit New York 11-8 in this one.

Jeff McNeil went 2-4 with one RBI in the loss. Dansby Swanson went 2-5 with one home run, two RBIs, and one run scored int eh win. Kyle Wright improved to 21-5, Max Scherzer fell to 11-5, and Kenley Jansen saved his 39th game of the season.

Pitching Matchup: Chris Bassitt (15-8, 3.27 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) vs Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.29 ERA, 1.20 WHIP)

Sportbook logo
Pick: New York +110
Bet $10, Payout $22.00 At BetMGM

Tonights Pick:

New York is cooling down a bit as they are 9-5 in their past 14 games and 7-5 in their last 12 games played in September. The Mets have struggled in Atlanta as they are just 4-10 in their last 14 road games against the Braves. Atlanta is hot as they are 6-1 in their last seven games overall and 17-6 in their last 23 games against teams from the National League.

I could not see a sweep happening before this series started and I still canโ€™t see that happening. The Mets get the win on Sunday and tie the division up as we head into the final series of the season.

For daily free Free MLB Predictions stop by the ATS experts stop by the MLB betting section

MLB

Oct 02, 2022 07:00 PM

New York Mets

VS

Atlanta Braves

Matchup Odds Trends

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+112
BetMGM
-133

48% NYM

ATL 52%

Total Pick Consensus

7.5/-105
PointsBet
7.5/-115

25% UN

OV 75%

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-190
BetMGM
-1.5/+160

44% NYM

ATL 56%

Team Records

NYM Team Records ATL
42-38Home52-29
32-49Road52-29
57-52vRHP81-49
17-35vLHP23-9
44-57vs>.50055-33
30-30vs<.50049-25
3-6Last107-3
9-10Last2011-9
14-15Last3017-13

Team Stats

NYM Team Stats ATL
4.55ERA3.86
.248Batting Avg Against.240
1.38WHIP1.28
.297BABIP.300
9.9%BB%8.7%
22.5%K%24.5%
72.3%LOB%74.1%
.236Batting Avg.275
.399SLG.502
.715OPS.847
.317OBP.345

Pitchers

C. Bassitt C. Morton
181.2Innings128.2
30GS23
15-9W-L11-10
3.42ERA3.71
8.27K/99.51
2.43BB/94.55
0.94HR/90.91
77.2%LOB%78.2%
10.9%HR/FB%10.9%
3.66FIP4.17
3.72xFIP4.37
.233AVG.248
22.4%K%23.9%
6.6%BB%11.4%
3.75SIERA4.57

Recent Starts

C. Bassitt C. Morton
Date Opp W/L IP H R ER SO BB ST-PC
5/2
ATL
Fried
ML N/A
L2-5
TOTAL N/A
7
6
3
3
8
1
64-95
4/26
STL
Hicks
ML N/A
W3-0
TOTAL N/A
6
2
0
0
6
3
55-94
4/20
SF
Rodon
ML N/A
L2-5
TOTAL N/A
6
8
5
5
6
1
62-97
4/15
ARI
Davies
ML N/A
W10-3
TOTAL N/A
6
2
1
1
6
2
64-98
4/9
WSH
Adon
ML N/A
W5-0
TOTAL N/A
6
3
0
0
8
1
66-93
Date Opp W/L IP H R ER SO BB ST-PC
5/3
NYM
Peterson
ML N/A
L4-5
TOTAL N/A
5.2
6
5
4
3
3
63-99
4/27
CHC
Jr
ML N/A
L3-6
TOTAL N/A
2.1
4
3
3
1
4
38-70
4/20
LAD
Gonsolin
ML N/A
L1-5
TOTAL N/A
5.1
6
4
4
4
3
49-95
4/14
SD
Musgrove
ML N/A
L1-12
TOTAL N/A
5
9
5
5
5
3
58-95
4/8
CIN
Sanmartin
ML N/A
W7-6
TOTAL N/A
5.1
2
2
2
5
1
51-78
  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NYM
ATL
NYM
ATL
Consensus
+115
-135
+112
-133
Draftkings

Bet $5 Get $200 + $150 in No Sweat Bets

+120
-140
+110
-130
FanDuel

Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets & $100 off NFL Sunday Ticket

-102
-116
+110
-130
BetRivers

Second chance bet up to $500

+108
-124
+114
-130
Caesars

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

+115
-135
+115
-135
PointsBet

Get Up To $1000 In Second Chance Bets

+120
-140
+110
-130
BetMGM

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+105
-125
+110
-135
Open
Current
Book
NYM
ATL
NYM
ATL
Consensus
+1.5 -191
-1.5 +160
+1.5 -191
-1.5 +157
Draftkings

Bet $5 Get $200 + $150 in No Sweat Bets

+1.5 -190
-1.5 +140
+1.5 -190
-1.5 +160
FanDuel

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-1.5 +168
+1.5 -205
+1.5 -200
-1.5 +164
BetRivers

Second chance bet up to $500

+1.5 -190
-1.5 +163
+1.5 -190
-1.5 +155
Caesars

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

+1.5 -190
-1.5 +158
+1.5 -190
-1.5 +158
PointsBet

Get Up To $1000 In Second Chance Bets

+1.5 -200
-1.5 +140
+1.5 -200
-1.5 +165
BetMGM

Bet $10 Get $200 Instantly In Bonus Bets

+1.5 -185
-1.5 +165
+1.5 -185
-1.5 +150
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
7.5 -110
7.5 -110
7.5 -108
7.5 -112
Draftkings

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8.0 -110
8.0 -110
7.5 -115
7.5 -105
FanDuel

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7.5 -108
7.5 -112
7.5 -106
7.5 -114
BetRivers

Second chance bet up to $500

7.5 -110
7.5 -108
7.5 -105
7.5 -114
Caesars

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

7.5 -110
7.5 -110
7.5 -110
7.5 -110
PointsBet

Get Up To $1000 In Second Chance Bets

7.5 -107
7.5 -107
7.5 -110
7.5 -105
BetMGM

Bet $10 Get $200 Instantly In Bonus Bets

7.5 -115
7.5 -105
7.5 -110
7.5 -110

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
NYM Betting Trends ATL
OVERALLOVERALL
1-2-0Win/Loss/Tie2-1-0
0-3-0ATS W/L/P2-1-0
3Avg Score3.67
4.33Avg Opp Score2.33
AWAYHOME
1-2-0Win/Loss/Tie2-1-0
1-2-0ATS W/L/P2-1-0
5.67Avg Score3.67
4.33Avg Opp Score2.33
NYM Betting Trends ATL
OVERALLOVERALL
2-3-0Win/Loss/Tie4-1-0
1-4-0ATS W/L/P4-1-0
5.2Avg Score5.4
4.6Avg Opp Score1.8
AWAYHOME
2-3-0Win/Loss/Tie4-1-0
2-3-0ATS W/L/P3-2-0
6Avg Score3.8
5Avg Opp Score2.2
NYM Betting Trends ATL
OVERALLOVERALL
5-5-0Win/Loss/Tie6-4-0
4-6-0ATS W/L/P5-5-0
5.3Avg Score4.4
4.8Avg Opp Score3.2
AWAYHOME
6-4-0Win/Loss/Tie9-1-0
6-4-0ATS W/L/P7-3-0
6.4Avg Score4.4
4.4Avg Opp Score2

Head to Head

Date TM Pitcher ML Tot Hits E SC
10/01/22
NYM
ATL
Scherzer
Wright
-118
+100
Ov7.0
Un7.0
8
11
0
0
2
4
09/30/22
NYM
ATL
deGrom
Fried
-124
+105
Ov6.5
Un6.5
8
8
0
0
2
5
08/18/22
NYM
ATL
deGrom
Fried
-139
+119
Ov6.5
Un6.5
6
6
0
0
2
3
08/17/22
NYM
ATL
Scherzer
Odorizzi
-154
+132
Ov7.5
Un7.5
14
7
0
1
9
7
08/16/22
NYM
ATL
Walker
Morton
+139
-165
Ov8.5
Un8.5
3
8
1
0
0
5
08/15/22
NYM
ATL
Carrasco
Strider
+138
-163
Ov8.0
Un8.0
7
15
1
1
1
13
08/07/22
ATL
NYM
Strider
deGrom
+130
-154
Ov6.5
Un6.5
2
10
0
0
2
5
08/06/22
ATL
NYM
Fried
Scherzer
+115
-136
Ov7.0
Un7.0
7
8
3
0
2
6
08/06/22
ATL
NYM
Odorizzi
Peterson
+113
-133
Ov9.0
Un9.0
12
13
1
0
5
8
08/05/22
ATL
NYM
Anderson
Walker
+115
-136
Ov8.5
Un8.5
14
12
0
1
9
6

Teams Last 10

New York Mets Atlanta Braves
Date TM Pitcher ML Tot Hits E SC
10/01/23
PHI
NYM
Strahm
Butto
+121
-143
Ov11.8
Un11.8
14
3
1
0
11
1
09/30/23
PHI
NYM
Plassmeyer
Quintana
+134
-170
Ov8.7
Un8.7
10
10
4
1
5
12
09/30/23
PHI
NYM
Walker
Megill
-124
-120
Ov9.9
Un9.9
9
6
0
0
4
5
09/27/23
MIA
NYM
Garrett
Lucchesi
-44
+38
Ov0.9
Un0.9
1
1
0
0
0
1
09/27/23
MIA
NYM
Cueto
Senga
+45
-53
Ov1.0
Un1.0
1
1
0
0
0
0
09/24/23
NYM
PHI
Butto
Sรกnchez
+216
-261
Ov13.0
Un13.0
6
12
0
0
4
10
09/23/23
NYM
PHI
Quintana
Wheeler
+223
-268
Ov10.6
Un10.6
13
16
2
2
10
14
09/22/23
NYM
PHI
Megill
Walker
+162
-193
Ov10.3
Un10.3
10
10
1
0
5
7
09/21/23
NYM
PHI
Peterson
Suรกrez
+144
-171
Ov9.0
Un9.0
8
7
0
1
4
5
09/20/23
NYM
MIA
Senga
Pรฉrez
+34
-40
Ov0.8
Un0.8
1
1
0
0
1
0
Date TM Pitcher ML Tot Hits E SC
10/01/23
WSH
ATL
Rutledge
Dodd
+221
-272
Ov12.9
Un12.9
18
13
0
0
12
11
09/30/23
WSH
ATL
Adon
Strider
+339
-423
Ov10.0
Un10.0
11
12
2
0
4
6
09/29/23
WSH
ATL
Williams
Winans
+145
-178
Ov4.2
Un4.2
4
11
1
1
4
3
09/28/23
CHC
ATL
Stroman
Smith-Shawver
+86
-102
Ov4.8
Un4.8
3
3
1
0
2
3
09/27/23
CHC
ATL
Taillon
Vines
+44
-53
Ov1.2
Un1.2
1
1
0
0
1
1
09/26/23
CHC
ATL
Steele
Elder
+123
-146
Ov9.6
Un9.6
13
8
1
0
6
7
09/24/23
ATL
WSH
Strider
Adon
-434
+350
Ov12.2
Un12.2
14
17
2
2
12
10
09/24/23
ATL
WSH
Winans
Rutledge
-343
+278
Ov13.7
Un13.7
12
14
0
0
4
6
09/22/23
ATL
WSH
Morton
Corbin
-309
+251
Ov10.3
Un10.3
11
11
0
1
10
8
09/21/23
ATL
WSH
Fried
Irvin
-270
+220
Ov9.5
Un9.5
19
8
0
0
10
3
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