Kyle Gibson (7-3, 2.86) makes his second start for the Philadelphia Phillies since his trade from the Rangers on July 30th. The Phillies will host the New York Mets and starting pitcher Marcus Stroman (7-9, 2.77). The Philadelphia opened at -115 favorites at Draftkings sportsbook and are now down to around -110 consensus at most US sportsbooks.
Gibson is the story in this game, as he righted the ship in his first start for the Phillies after a brief rocky stretch before his exit from Texas. In that start he allowed two earned runs on five hits over six and two thirds innings. This is the absolute norm for him as he has not allowed more than two earned runs in 11 of his last 13 starts. The two games where he allowed the runs were in that aforementioned brief period.
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On the other side, Marcus Stroman has been anything but reliable for the Mets. His ERA looks great but he has been uneven and not provided lengthy starts. He has gone six innings or more just once in his last eight starts. What’s more, he is a pitcher that has lacked in run support. Despite not pitching terribly on most occasions, the Mets are just 2-7 in his last nine starts.
The Phillies are the hot team right now, riding a five game win streak. The Mets are going in the other direction, losing seven of their last ten. The Phillies trail the Mets by just a half game in the NL East. A win on Friday for the Phillies would move them into the division lead.
The Phillies are the team that has fared better against their own division. They are four games over .500 against the NL East while the Mets are two games under .500. Home games matter significantly for both of these teams as well, particularly the Mets. They are 13 games over .500 at home and nine games under .500 on the road. The splits aren’t quite as steep for the Phillies, but they are similar.
With essentially a pickem line and Gibson being back to form in a home game, the Phillies are the value and in a great spot to extend the winning streak to six games.