Date & Time: April 9, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location: Citi Field Flushing, New York
Betting Odds: Twins+218/Mets-245
Total O/U: 6.5
The Minnesota Twins (5-3) head to the east coast for a two-game interleague series against the New York Mets (6-3). The Twins will be going with pitcher Kyle Gibson (0-0 9.64 ERA) to take on reigning NL Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom (2-0 0.00 ERA).
deGrom had one of the best pitching performances in recent years last season and many thought there would be no chance of him doing even better this season. Well, through the first two games, deGrom is looking even more dominant than last year, especially considering his Opening Day start he outbattled Max Scherzer, even when he wasn’t looking his best.
The Mets offense is something new for deGrom. After getting virtually no run support last season, the Mets have been smacking the ball all over the field this season, mixing in opposite field hits as well as any team. If deGrom pitches as good (or better) than he did last year, this Mets offense can get him over the 20 win mark.
In Gibson’s only start this season he got torched by the Kansas City Royals last week. Gibson only lasted 4 ⅔ while giving up six runs, five earned and walking two.
The main issues the Mets are having right now is their bullpen. Seth Lugo, Robert Gsellman and Jeurys Familia haven’t had great starts to the season. The Mets are 19th in team ERA at 4.48, mostly due to their bullpen, as their starters have pitched well, aside from Zach Wheeler (deGrom ERA 0.00, Matz ERA 0.87, Syndergaard ERA 4.50, Jason Vargas ERA 3.60, Wheeler ERA 10.24).
The Mets offense should be able to get to Gibson early in this one and give deGrom a rare multiple-run lead. One big thing to look for is that since the game is in New York, it will be NL rules, meaning Gibson will have to bat (although he did go 2-2 last season at the plate, but was 2-16 in his career before that game), and deGrom is one of the best hitting pitchers in baseball (HR in last game). The only concern the Mets should have is their bullpen blowing the game. The Mets offense should get far ahead enough to prevent that from happening, but the bullpen will push this game over by giving up a couple of runs. Mets take this one by a couple runs as the total flirts with double-digits.
MINNESOTA TWINS vs NEW YORK METS FREE PREDICTION
Baseball Pick: ML Winner – Mets, RL Winner – Mets, O/U – Over
Confidence Level: 5/5
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 6 games.
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games against the Mets.
The Mets are 6-3 ATS this season.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the last 8 Mets’ games.
The Mets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home against Minnesota.