In our MLB predictions for Friday, July 8, we are breaking down the second of a four-game NL East series between Miami and New York to bring you the best Marlins vs Mets betting pick and odds. Thursday night’s opener has been excluded from the analysis, while the Mets have won five of their previous seven tilts against the Marlins in 2022.
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Marlins vs Mets Betting Pick
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 PM ET on Friday, July 8, 2022.
Why Bet The Mets:
✅ Pablo Lopez will get the starting call for Miami, and the 26-year-old right-hander holds a 5-4 record with a firm 2.97 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 16 starts (94 innings) this season. However, Lopez has slowed down of late, posting a 4.89 ERA and 4.60 FIP over his previous six outings and 35 frames of work. Pablo has emerged victorious only once since May 7.
✅ The current Mets have 33 hits, six doubles, three home runs, 12 RBIs, and .907 OPS in 102 at-bats against Pablo Lopez. JD Davis is 5-for-10, Jeff McNeill is 4-for-10 with a double and a home run, while Luis Guillorme is 3-for-6 versus the Marlins’ righty.
✅ Pablo Lopez struggled mightily in his previous date with the Mets on June 17. The Marlins suffered a 10-4 defeat and Lopez was charged for a loss, allowing seven runs (six earned) on eight hits across 5.1 innings of work. Pablo is 2-3 with a pedestrian 4.99 ERA in seven career starts against the Mets.
The Marlins put an end to their six-game losing streak last Wednesday. They suffered a 5-2 defeat to the Los Angeles Angels and split a two-game interleague series in front of the home fans. The Marlins fell to 39-41 on the season, trailing the bottom NL wild card by three games.
Miami is hitting just .233/.306/.398 in the last seven days and 206 at-bats. The Marlins’ bullpen has thrown 19.2 innings in that span, posting a 3.20 ERA, 4.13 FIP, and 6.7 K/9.
New York Mets
The Mets beat the Reds 8-3 in ten innings this past Wednesday to clinch a three-game set in Cincinnati and improve their record to 51-31 for the season. New York was topping the NL East on Thursday, two and a half games ahead of the reigning champions, the Atlanta Braves.
Over the last seven days, the Mets were slashing .267/.330/.433 across 210 at-bats. Chris Bassitt will get the nod Thursday and return to the mound following a short stint on the IL caused by illness. The 33-year-old righty is 6-5 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 15 starts (89.2 innings pitched) in 2022.