The Miami Marlins meet the Los Angeles Dodgers for the first time since 2019, so here’s the best betting pick for the opening contest of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles along with the latest odds on FanDuel Sportsbook.
The first pitch is set at 10:10 PM ET, and the Dodgers are firm -200 favorites to beat the Marlins in the opener Friday night. Miami is listed as a +185 moneyline underdog with a total of 7.0 runs.
The Marlins hope for a good performance in the City of Angels
The Miami Marlins could have a mountain to climb in LA this weekend despite the Dodgers’ poor form. They entered Thursday’s clash against Arizona on the road as the second-worst team in the NL East with four losses in their previous five outings.
Miami is scoring 4.00 runs per game (22nd in the MLB) while slashing .231/.300/.375 which are all below the league average. The Marlins have smacked 35 home runs so far this season (24th) and drew just 104 walks through their first 36 contests (26th).
Sandy Alcantara will take the hill Friday, and the 25-year-old right-hander is 1-2 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in eight starts this season. Last Sunday, Alcantara tossed seven frames of a one-run ball against Milwaukee while striking out six but left with the no-decision. He met the Dodgers once in 2019 and yielded six earned runs in five frames of work.
The Dodgers aim for their third straight victory
The Los Angeles Dodgers improved to 20-17 on the season by sweeping the Seattle Mariners in a two-game series in LA earlier this week. The reigning champs are still trying to get back on the right track after dropping 11 of their last 16 games overall.
The Dodgers are tallying 5.05 runs per contest (4th in the MLB) on a .243/.346/.408 slash line. Their on-base percentage is the best in the majors, as the Dodgers drew a whopping 174 walks through their first 37 games in 2021. Los Angeles slugged 43 round-trippers (tied-14th), so the Dodgers can certainly improve in further days.
Clayton Kershaw will toe the slab Friday, and the 33-year-old ace is 5-3 with a 2.62 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in eight starts this term. Kershaw shut down the Angels last time out, punching out five through five scoreless innings. The lefty is 6-5 with a 2.34 ERA in 13 career starts against Miami.
- 1-4 in the last five games overall
- 1-6 in the last seven games against the Dodgers
- 7-3 in the last ten home games against Miami
- 5-0 in the last five home tilts against the NL East
Both Miami and Los Angeles have some serious injury problems and will miss a few very important batters each. The Dodgers possess great depth, so I’m expecting the hosts to win this game on the back of their offense.
Of course, Clayton Kershaw will have to put on a solid performance, and the Claw tossed 13 scoreless innings in a couple of starts against the Marlins in 2019. I’m looking for another good display here, as the Marlins’ offense is far away from an elite level.
Pick: Take Los Angeles Dodgers at -200
Sandy Alcantara is the Marlins’ best pitcher, no doubt. That’s why the line has been set at exactly seven runs, as two top-notch pitchers will take the hill Friday at Dodger Stadium.
I don’t feel comfortable with a 7-run line and would stick with the Dodgers to win. The reigning champs could easily take advantage of the Marlins’ relievers who own a solid 3.34 ERA, while the Dodgers bullpen sports a 3.97 ERA and could surrender a couple of runs down the stretch.
Pick: Go over 7.0 runs at -110