The Kansas City Royals and Chicago White Sox postponed the middle contest of their three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field due to rain in Chicago, so I bring you the best betting pick and odds for the closing clash Sunday, April 11.
The Chi Sox open as -138 moneyline favorites with a total of 9.0 runs on DraftKings Sportsbook, while the Royals are listed at +128 to win straight up. Kansas City got routed in the opener as +157 dogs, 6-0, and the Royals are winless in six straight meetings with the White Sox.
The Royals hope to stop a two-game slide
After winning three of their first four games in 2021, the Kansas City Royals have suffered a couple of losses at Cleveland 4-2 and Chicago 6-0. They struggled mightily against the White Sox last Thursday, recording just five hits, while Brad Keller yielded four earned runs in the first two innings.
Kansas City ranks eighth in the majors in batting average (.251) and slugging percentage (.414) mostly thanks to Whit Merrifield and Michael A. Taylor. Merrifield is slashing .375/.393/.792 and already has three homers and nine RBI, while Taylor added a couple of round-trippers on a .391/.417/.696 slash line.
The Royals will start Mike Minor on Sunday, and the 33-year-old southpaw was victorious in his first start of the new season. Minor tossed six innings in an 11-4 victory to Texas on April 3, yielding four earned runs on four hits and a couple of walks while punching out six. The lefty is 0-2 in two career starts against the White Sox.
The White Sox look for another strong offensive performance
The Chicago White Sox are 4-4 on the season following that thrashing of the Royals last Thursday. They started the 2021 MLB season with a 3-1 defeat in the Angels series on the road, but the White Sox proved their worth over the last four outings.
Besides an 8-4 defeat at Seattle, the Chi Sox had three strong offensive showings over their previous four games, outlasting the Mariners 6-0 and 10-4 along with a 6-0 win over Kansas City. They are sixth in the majors in batting average (.255), fourth in on-base percentage (.359), and ninth in slugging percentage (.404).
Dylan Cease will toe the slab Sunday, looking for his first win of the season. The 25-year-old righty pitched 4.2 innings in a no-decision against the Angels on April 4, allowing three earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out three. Cease is 2-1 with a 4.22 ERA in four career starts against the Royals.
- 1-10 in the last 11 games against the White Sox
- 1-5 in the last six games on the road
- 16-4 in the last 20 games at home
- 10-4 in the last 14 home tilts against Kansas City
The White Sox have one of the most potent lineups in baseball even though both Eloy Jimenez and Tim Anderson are sidelined with injuries. They’ve won 17 straight games against the left-handed starting pitchers (3-0 on the season) and will look to tie the MLB record on Sunday.
Hereof, I’m backing the hosts to hit hard and get another win on the back of their offense. I don’t expect a lot from Dylan Cease, but Mike Minor could be in trouble.
Pick: Take Chicago White Sox at -138
While the over is 10-5 in Chicago’s last 15 games, the under has hit in 12 of Kansas City’s previous 18 contests overall. I’m going with the over in this one mostly because of the White Sox’s prolific offense, especially against the lefties.
Also, the over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these two foes at Guaranteed Rate Field. Although Chicago’s offense is doing a great job, the Chi Sox’s pitching staff hasn’t impressed thus far, posting a 3.95 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP.
Pick: Go over 9.0 runs at -115