The Colorado Rockies head to Busch Stadium in St. Louis on Friday night to take on the St. Louis Cardinals for the first time this season. These two National League foes start a three-game series, so here’s the best Rockies vs. Cardinals betting pick for the opener.
The Cardinals are listed at -200 to win this battle, according to William Hill Sportsbook, while the Rockies are +189 underdogs with a total of 7.5 runs. St. Louis has dominated Colorado over the last few years, winning 13 of their previous 18 encounters overall including the last six at Busch Stadium.
The Rockies swing for their third straight win
The struggling Colorado Rockies improved to 12-19 on the season with a couple of wins over the San Francisco Giants, 8-6 and 6-5, but they are still the worst team in the NL West, trailing three and a half games behind the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Last week, the Rockies lost a four-game set at the D-backs, 3-1, recording a 14-6 win in the process along with three comfortable losses (8-4, 7-2, and 5-3). Their pitching staff is currently the worst in the majors with a 5.16 ERA, while the Rockies’ relievers own a 5.42 ERA (28th in the MLB). Colorado scores 4.87 runs per game (6th) while slashing .247/.308/.412.
Austin Gomber will get the starting call Friday, and the 27-year-old southpaw is 2-3 on the season after earning a win over Arizona last week. Gomber allowed four runs (a couple of earned) on five hits and a walk while striking out four. He owns a poor 5.90 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and 27/20 K/BB ratio across 29 frames of work.
The Cardinals hope to extend their rich vein of form
Unlike the Rockies who got a well-deserved rest on Thursday, the 18-13 St. Louis Cardinals played the closing contest of a four-game home series against the New York Mets. After a couple of wins at the start of the set, the Cards suffered a 4-1 defeat on Wednesday night to put an end to their six-game winning streak.
St. Louis is scoring 4.65 runs per game (11th in the majors) while slashing .234/.306/.407. The Cards hit 40 dingers before Thursday’s clash against the Mets, enough for the sixth-most in the MLB. They surrender 4.06 runs per contest (tied-11th in the majors), while the Cards’ relievers sport a 3.87 ERA (14th).
Jack Flaherty will toe slab Friday, looking to improve his 5-0 record out of the first six starts in 2021. The 25-year-old righty owns a 3.41 ERA and 1.02 WHIP along with a solid 36/10 K/BB ratio across 34.1 innings of work. He’s 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA in a couple of career starts against the Rockies.
- 2-12 in the last 14 games on the road
- 5-13 in the last 18 games against St. Louis
- 12-1 in the last 13 home tilts against Colorado
- 7-3 in the last ten outings at Busch Stadium
Austin Gomber has been pretty much terrible so far this season, as well as the entire Rockies’ bullpen. The lefty struggles with control and will have to do a much better job against the Cardinals who love to hit hard and look for fly balls.
On the other side, Jack Flaherty is enjoying a nice season, and I’m looking for more of the same in this one, as the Rockies’ bats are way more dangerous when playing at home. Also, I’ve mentioned that St. Louis has owned Colorado over the last few years, especially when they meet each other at Busch Stadium.
Pick: Take St. Louis Cardinals at -200
I’m expecting the Cards’ pitching staff to make the difference. However, with the line at 7.5 runs, I have to go with the over. The Rockies’ pitching has been awful since an Opening Day, while both teams have plenty of firepower in their lineups.
The over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between the Rockies and Cardinals at Busch Stadium. Also, 11 of the Rockies’ previous 12 games overall went in the over.
Pick: Go over 7.5 runs at +115