Nearly half of the major league teams will rest on Monday, May 24, but there are still a few interesting matchups on the schedule, so I’ve prepared the best Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets betting pick, as these two National League foes open a four-game series at Citi Park in New York.
The Rockies and Mets meet for the second time this season, as New York won the last month’s three-game set at Coors Field in Denver, 2-1. The Mets suffered a 7-2 defeat in the middle contest while outlasting the Rockies 4-3 in the opener and 2-1 in the closer.
New York is a slight -125 home fave to win Monday’s clash, according to DraftKings Sportsbook, while Colorado is a +115 moneyline dog with a total of 7.5 runs.
The Rockies start a seven-game road trip
The Colorado Rockies are riding a seven-game losing streak when playing away from Coors Field. Their last trip finished in a three-game sweep by the San Diego Padres. Colorado has dropped five of its previous seven games overall excluding Sunday’s closing contest of a three-game home set against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Rockies were 17-29 on Sunday, sitting bottom of the NL West. They were also the worst team in the National League. Colorado is tallying 4.65 runs per game (10th in the majors) on a .243/.305/.397 slash line, but the Rockies are yielding a whopping 5.30 runs in a return (28th).
Their pitching staff owns a 4.94 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP. Austin Gomber will toe the slab Monday against the Mets, and the 27-year-old lefty is 2-4 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in nine starts this season. He’ll get the Mets for the first time in his career.
The Mets open a seven-game homestand
The New York Mets fell to 21-19 on the season following a 5-1 defeat at the Miami Marlins last Sunday. They wrapped up a nine-game road trip, going 3-6 in the process, so the Mets must be pleased to return home where they haven’t lost in five straight outings.
New York is scoring only 3.51 runs per game, and only the hapless Pittsburgh Pirates are behind them with 3.40 runs per contest. The Mets are 26th in the majors in batting average (.227) and dead last in slugging percentage (.344).
On the other side of the ball, the Mets are doing a great job, yielding 3.74 runs per game (6th in the MLB). Their pitching staff owns the fifth-lowest ERA (3.27) and the fourth-lowest WHIP (1.14). David Peterson will take the hill Monday, and the 25-year-old southpaw is 1-3 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in eight starts this term. He’s never met the Rockies before.
- 5-10 in the last 15 games overall
- 0-7 in the last seven games on the road
- 3-6 in Austin Gomber’s nine starts this season
- 6-2 in the last eight games against Colorado
- 5-0 in the last five games at home
The Rockies have been a disaster when playing away from home, dropping 17 of their first 19 road contests in 2021. I’m expecting the Mets to pile on Colorado’s misery and get things going offensively against one of the worst pitching staffs in the big leagues.
The Rockies bullpen sports a horrible 5.62 ERA (29th in the majors), while the Mets’ relievers own a 3.80 ERA (10th). I’m expecting the hosts’ pitching staff to make the difference.
Pick: Take New York Mets at -125
Although Citi Field is a pitching-friendly park, I’m going with the over here because of the low line at 7.5 runs and some tempting odds on the over. Of course, I’m counting on the Rockies ‘pen to allow a few runs, while Austin Gomber is not a guy you can trust despite a couple of strong displays in his previous two outings.
On the other side, David Peterson has been inconsistent since Opening Day. He’s yielded exactly three earned runs in two of his previous three outings.
Pick: Go over 7.5 runs at +100