Date & Time: May 11, 2019 3:07 PM (EDT)
Location: Rogers Centre Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Betting Odds: Chicago+140/Toronto-155
Total O/U: 8.5
The second game of the three-game series against the Chicago White Sox (16-21) and the Toronto Blue Jays (16-22) matches up Ivan Nova (1-3 7.04 ERA) and Marcus Stroman (1-5 2.96 ERA).
Nova’s two best starts of the season where his first start of the year, and his most recent outing. Inbetween those two performances, Nova has seen some bad days. In his five starts inbetween, Nova allowed 28 earned runs and 42 hits in 24 ⅓ innings. Although he is coming off of his best start of the season, seven innings only allowing one earned run, it was against the Cleveland Indians (whose offense ranks in the bottom five of the league).
Stroman has had four starts this season where he has allowed one run or less, three of which were scorless outings. Of those four starts, three resulted in no-decisions. Stroman’s last two starts have been his worst of the year, totaling nine earned runs in eight innings.
Toronto won yesterday’s game 4-3, but I think they pick up an easier win today. Toronto’s offense is actually tied with Cleveland in runs per game, so Nova may be able to have another solid outing today, although I don’t see that happening. Stroman has been the better pitcher of the two so far this season and I think he ends up being the better one in this game as well. Neither offense is going to explode in this one, but Toronto should be able to find a way to get a multi-run win against a pitcher who has one of the highest ERA’s among qualified starters. Toronto gets a few off of Nova early and adds a couple more late as the White Sox struggle to get more than a couple of runs throughout the game against a top ten Toronto pitching staff.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX vs TORONTO BLUE JAYS FREE PREDICTION
MLB Pick: ML Winner –Toronto, RL Winner –Toronto, O/U – Under
Confidence Level: 4/5
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago’s last 5 games.
Chicago is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.
Chicago is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games against Toronto.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto’s last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto’s last 8 homes games.
Toronto is 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games against Chicago.