The Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals continue their three-game set at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri, on Saturday night, so I bring you the best betting pick and odds for their AL Central showdown.
The White Sox opened as firm -170 road favorites to win Saturday’s clash, while the Royals sit at +157 moneyline odds with a total of 8.5 runs on FanDuel Sportsbook. These two foes already met each other once in April and split a two-game set at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago.
The Chi Sox aim for their first series win in May
The Chicago White Sox finished April with a 14-11 record, and after dropping a three-game set to the Indians at home, 2-1, they split a two-game set at the Cincinnati Reds earlier this week. The Chi Sox entered the Royals series with three losses in their last five games while sitting at the second spot of the AL Central standings, half a game ahead of Kansas City.
Tony La Russa’s boys score 4.93 runs per game (4th in the majors) while posting a .254 batting average (3rd) and a .338 on-base percentage (2nd). Their slugging percentage of .385 is 14th-best in the MLB, and the White Sox have smacked just 25 home runs thus far (27th in the majors).
Lance Lynn will get his fifth starting nod of the season Saturday, and the 33-year-old righty is 2-1 with a nice 1.82 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 29/4 K/BB ratio across 24.2 innings. Last week, Lynn tossed five frames in a 7-3 victory to Cleveland, allowing three earned runs on four hits and a couple of walks while striking out just two. He’s 5-2 with a 3.73 ERA in ten career starts against Kansas City.
The Royals look to break out of their slump
The Kansas City Royals entered the opening game of this series riding a five-game losing streak. After a heavy 13-4 defeat at Minnesota, the Royals got swept by the Indians in a four-game set at Kauffman Stadium, so they were third in the AL Central on Friday, holding a 16-14 record.
Kansas City is 15th in the majors in runs scored per game (4.43), 13th in batting average (.237), 20th in on-base percentage (.307), and 14th in slugging percentage (.395). The Royals have hit 31 homers (24th in the MLB), and catcher Salvador Perez leads the way with seven dingers in 119 at-bats.
Daniel Lynch will get his second major-league start on Saturday. The 24-year-old southpaw enjoyed a rough debut last Monday despite leaving the game with a no-decision. He yielded three earned runs on four hits and four walks to the Indians while striking out three through 4.2 frames of work.
- 8-4 in the last 12 games overall
- 7-3 in the last ten tilts against the American League
- 6-1 in the last seven games against Kansas City
- 0-7 in the last seven home tilts against the White Sox
- 1-6 in the last seven games overall
- 1-6 in the last seven games at home
The White Sox are 5-1 against the left-handed starting pitchers this term. They hit extremely well against the lefties, so I’m backing them to extend their dominance over the Royals at Kauffman Stadium.
Daniel Lynch has struggled mightily in his first appearance in the major league and could be in big trouble Saturday when he meets the White Sox’s potent offense. On the other side, I’m expecting a solid performance by Lance Lynn who’s been excellent since the start of the abbreviated 2020 season.
Pick: Take Chicago White Sox at -170
The White Sox hit a lot of ground balls and are 10th in the MLB in total hits, while the Royals own the eighth-worst fielding percentage in the majors. Therefore, I have to go with the over, expecting the visitors to hit well against Daniel Lynch.
Furthermore, neither side can brag with a strong bullpen. The Royals’ relievers are 26th in baseball with a 5.17 ERA, while the White Sox’s relievers are 20th with a 4.18 ERA. Excluding the opening clash of this set, 11 of the last 18 meetings between the White Sox and Royals went in the over.
Pick: Go over 8.5 runs at -112