Free MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets
At ATS.io, we deliver free expert MLB Picks every day of the 2025 season, from the first pitch of Opening Day to the final out of the World Series. With decades of baseball betting experience, our trusted analysts provide data-driven predictions for moneylines, run lines, and totals to help bettors make smarter, more confident wagers all season long.
List Of Todays MLB Picks
- MLB
Featured MLB Prediction
New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves
The Pick: Braves ML (-110)
- The Yankees haven’t decided on a starting pitcher and their lack of pitching continuity could hurt them in this game.
- Atlanta’s bullpen is better than that of the Yankees, which should also help the Braves win this game.
Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs
The Pick: Red Sox ML (+113)
- The Red Sox have won 10 games in a row going into Friday’s action.
- Lucas Giolito has been pitching at a high level for the Sox and I expect that to continue today.
MLB Betting Futures
Types Of MLB Picks & Predictions We Provide
MLB betting has its share of diehard fans, but the sport is well behind basketball and football in terms of betting popularity. Part of the season is the daily grind, where games are played seven days a week for months on end. The other reason is using the moneyline instead of the point spread for betting.
Many bettors feel the moneyline is too complicated, although, in actuality, it’s easier than the point spread, as you’re only interested in which teams win the game. The winning margin doesn’t come into play with the majority of baseball bets.
The Three Most Common Bets In MLB
Whether you’re scanning the board for value or lining up your daily picks, most MLB wagers fall into one of three core categories: moneyline, run line, or total (over/under). Each offers a distinct way to approach the game, and knowing when to use each is half the battle.
Let’s walk through the structure of each and how seasoned bettors tend to approach them—layering in strategy, not just statistics.
Moneyline Bets
This is the entry point for many bettors, and frankly, it’s still the go-to for most. A moneyline bet is simple: you’re picking which team wins the game. But that simplicity masks some strategic depth.
Example Moneyline Offs:
- New York Mets -130
- Philadelphia Phillies +120
Here, the Mets are favored. You’d have to wager $130 to win $100. On the flip side, a $100 bet on the Phillies would return $120 if they pull off the win.
Expert Angle:
Don’t just bet the logo or the standings. The moneyline reflects not only team strength but also pitcher matchups and even bullpen availability. If a top-tier ace is facing a spot starter, odds might swing significantly. That’s your cue to look beyond the surface, check out our in-depth prediction, betting trends maybe even dig into day/night splits or how the lineup performs against certain pitch types.
Run Line Bets
The run line operates like a point spread, but in baseball, it almost always sits at 1.5 runs. That means you’re betting on a team to win (or lose) by at least two runs or stay within one.
Example Run Line:
- Mets -1.5 (+135)
- Phillies +1.5 (-155)
If you take the Mets at -1.5, they need to win by two or more. If they win by one, you lose the bet. The Phillies, as +1.5 underdogs, can lose by one run and still cash.
Expert Tip:
The run line becomes more appealing in specific contexts think offensive matchups, weather conditions, or bullpen fatigue. Be wary of laying -1.5 with a home favorite; they often don’t bat in the ninth if leading, which reduces their chance to pad a lead. Savvy bettors also watch lineups rest days or back-to-back travel games can quietly shift outcomes.
Totals (Over/Under)
Totals betting is all about predicting the combined number of runs scored by both teams. It’s less about who wins, more about how the game unfolds.
Example:
- Over 8.5 (-120)
- Under 8.5 (Even)
An over bet needs at least nine runs scored in total. An under bet wins with eight or fewer.
Sharpen Your Edge:
Pitching matchups are key here, but don’t stop there. Weather is a sneaky influencer—wind blowing out can turn fly balls into homers. Check the park dimensions too: Coors Field in Denver plays very differently than Citi Field in New York. And consider how bullpens have been used over the past week. A taxed relief corps often leads to late-game scoring.
Basic Strategies To Utilize When Making Your Own Picks
Since MLB is most commonly bet using the moneyline, you’re frequently going to see small differences in the odds in any game. If one sportsbook has the Astros -118, another will likely have Houston -120. Over the course of a season, saving a few dollars here and there will add up and can be the difference between a winning season and a losing one.
By using some common sense and following a few easy guidelines, bettors can increase their chances of coming out ahead at the end of the season.
Odds Shopping
Baseball is the sport where you see more differences in the odds offered by each individual sportsbook than any other sport. For starters, some sportsbooks offer better baseball lines than others on terms of the differences in prices between the favorite and the underdog. Some will use the 15-cent line and others will use a 20-cent line, where the difference between the favorite and the underdog is greater, making it harder to come out ahead.
While nearly every sportsbook used the traditional -110 for football and basketball, it’s different in baseball. Those wagering on Major League Baseball should be betting at one of the sportsbooks that is friendlier to baseball bettors. Having several accounts at different sportsbooks will allow you to get better odds on many of your picks.
Take Advantage of Sportsbook Bonuses
If you need another reason to have several sportsbook accounts, the sign-up bonuses are a nice way to add to your bankroll. In an effort to get you to sign-up with them, sportsbooks will offer you everything from free wagers to matching your first deposit up to a certain amount and more.
Most sportsbooks also have some sort of loyalty program to keep you betting with them. The competition among sportsbooks is one of the best things around for bettors and should be taken advantage of.
Money Management
The phrase “money management” is used frequently but seldom put in play by bettors. In simple terms, it merely means maximizing the money you have set aside for your sports betting activities. While there is no set method, the most common money management technique involves betting a percentage of your bankroll on every game. The amount typically ranges from 2% to 5% of your bankroll, so if you have $1,000 in your sportsbook accounts, you’ll be betting $20 to $50. The amount seems small, but as your bankroll increases, so do the size of your bets. Likewise, if you’re losing the size of your bets will shrink even more.
The bottom line is you can’t win if you’re broke and practicing some sort of money management method will keep you from going broke more often than not.
