The Baltimore Orioles and Chicago White Sox opened a four-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago on Thursday night, so I’ve prepared the best betting pick and odds for the second contest of this American League showdown set for Friday, May 28, with the first pitch at 8:10 PM ET.
According to FanDuel Sportsbook, the White Sox are firm -210 favorites to win Friday’s clash. The Orioles are listed as +192 moneyline underdogs, while the totals sit at 9.0 runs.
Baltimore dropped nine straight games before Thursday’s opener
The Baltimore Orioles have been awful lately. They’ve won only two of their last 18 games overall, entering the White Sox series on a nine-game losing streak. The O’s were 17-32 on Thursday, sitting bottom of the AL East with the worst record in the majors.
Baltimore is scoring just 3.98 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .236/.302/.385 slash line. Over the last two weeks, the Orioles are batting .252 while posting the tenth-best OPS in baseball (.750). However, the O’s sported the highest ERA in the MLB during that span (7.76).
Matt Harvey will take the mound Friday, and the 32-year-old righty is 3-5 in ten starts this season. Harvey owns a poor 6.31 ERA and 1.58 WHIP along with a 36/13 K/BB ratio across 45.2 frames of work. He’s been charged for a loss in each of his previous four starts, while Harvey is 1-1 with a 0.47 ERA in three career starts and one relief appearance against the White Sox.
The Chi Sox top the AL Central
The Chicago White Sox haven’t been at their best over the last ten days, suffering five losses in their previous eight outings including a sweep by the Yankees in a three-game set in New York. Still, the Chi Sox were 28-20 on Thursday and sitting atop of the AL Central, 1.5 games ahead of the Cleveland Indians.
The White Sox own the third-highest scoring offense in baseball, tallying 5.11 runs per contest on a .255/.342/.406 slash line. On the other side of the ball, the White Sox are yielding 3.55 runs per game (3rd in the MLB). Their pitching staff sports the sixth-lowest ERA in the majors (3.25).
Dallas Keuchel will toe the slab Friday, and the 33-year-old southpaw is 3-1 with a 4.28 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in ten starts this season. Keuchel hasn’t met the Orioles since 2018. He’s 3-2 with a 2.81 ERA in eight career starts against Baltimore.
MLB Betting Trends:
- 1-9 in the last ten games on the road
- 2-16 in the last 18 games overall
- 1-4 in Matt Harvey’s last five starts
Chicago White Sox:
- 7-4 in the last 11 home games against Baltimore
- 5-1 in Dallas Keuchel’s last six starts at home
The White Sox are a much better team than the Orioles on both sides of the ball and should take full advantage of Baltimore’s pitching woes. The O’s yielded six or more runs in nine of their previous 11 games overall, so they’ll have a mountain to climb against one of the best offensive teams in the majors.
Matt Harvey has been a disaster in each of his previous three starts, allowing a whopping 18 earned runs on 24 hits across 10.2 frames of work during that span. The current White Sox are batting .290 against Harvey while posting a .801 OPS. On the other side, the current Orioles are only 3-for-22 against Dallas Keuchel.
Pick: Take Chicago White Sox at -210
As I’ve mentioned a few times, the Orioles’ pitching staff has been horrible as of late, so I’m backing the over on the totals. Baltimore’s bats are doing a solid job and should find a way to score a few runs against Chicago.
Keuchel has allowed ten earned runs over his last three starts, while Chicago’s relievers own a 3.92 ERA (13th in the MLB). On the other side, Baltimore’s relievers sport a 4.41 ERA (21st).
Pick: Go over 9.0 runs at -110