The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (18-11, 9-9 ACC) welcome the No. 7 Florida State Seminoles (24-5, 14-4 ACC) to Purcell Pavilion at the Joyce Center as they try to extend their five-game home winning streak. The game can be seen on ESPN2 at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2020.
Florida State opened as a 2-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 147 points Pointsbet Sportsbook Iowa.
Florida State Seminoles at Notre Dame Fighting Irish ATS Prediction
The Seminoles were unable to cover as 3.5-point favorites in their 70-69 loss to the Clemson Tigers in their last contest. The total points for the game (139) came in over the projected point total from BetMGM sportsbook of 133. Clemson’s 15.7 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Florida State, who had a mark of 21.6. The Tigers’ mark was better than their season average of 16.8, while the Seminoles’ was above their season average of 16.6. Devin Vassell led Florida State in scoring with 14 points on 6-for-11 shooting.
In the Fighting Irish’s last game, they fell to the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 84-73, despite being 2-point favorites . The total points for the game (157) were over the O/U total of 150. Wake Forest made good use of their 27 trips to the charity stripe, making 23 of them (85.2 percent). Notre Dame, on the other hand, was just 15-24 (62.5 percent). Notre Dame’s John Mooney put together a solid game, leading the team in scoring with 24 points on 10-for-22 shooting.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, the Fighting Irish lost 85-84 but covered as 9-point underdogs. Prentiss Hubb scored a game-high 24 points. The game finished with a total of 169 points, which was 27 points above the projected point total of 142 points. The Seminoles’ 35.3 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Fighting Irish, who had a rate of 31.3.
Florida State heads into the contest with records of 24-5 straight up (SU) and 16-12-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Seminoles’ 29 games, 18 have finished over the O/U total.
Notre Dame is 18-11 SU, but they are just 13-14-2 ATS. Of the Fighting Irish’s 29 games, 15 have finished over the O/U total.
Ball security could play an integral role in this meeting. Notre Dame commits the fewest miscues in the nation (turnover percentage of 13.8 percent), while the gambling defense of Florida State forces the 16th-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 23.9 percent).
Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Free Pick
College Basketball Prediction: ATS Winner – Notre Dame, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
On the road, Florida State is 8-6 ATS with 7 overs and 7 unders.
Notre Dame is 8-8-1 ATS at home with 10 overs and 7 unders.
Florida State ranks 71st in rebounds allowed per game (32.9) while Notre Dame ranks 275th (38.8).
The Seminoles rank 11th in assists allowed per game (9.8) while the Fighting Irish rank 196th (13.6).
Notre Dame ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (28.1) while Florida State ranks 180th (21.1).
The Seminoles rank 14th in steals per game (8.8) while the Fighting Irish rank 163rd (5.9).
Florida State blocks 5.4 opponent shots per game, which is ranked ninth in the nation. Notre Dame ranks 105th in blocks allowed per game (3.2).
In its last five games, Florida State is 3-1-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Notre Dame is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Seminoles’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.6, down from 9.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Fighting Irish have scored an average of 71.8 points per game (2.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 77.2 points per game (7.9 above their season average).