Both the Washington Commanders and San Francisco 49ers find themselves in playoff positions heading into Week 16 of the NFL season. This week, they face each other in a game that could have a significant impact on the playoff picture in the NFC going into the final stretch of the year. In our NFL betting picks for Week 16, we pick this huge Commanders vs 49ers tilt.
Commanders vs 49ers Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Commanders +7 |
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This game will be played at Levi’s Stadium at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday, December 24, 2022.
Why Bet the Commanders:
✅ The Commanders have the best defense that Brock Purdy has faced as a pro thus far. Washington ranks fourth in the NFL in total defense. While that is a few spots behind the top ranked Niners defense, it will help the Commanders stay within a touchdown here.
✅ Losing Deebo Samuel will be a significant blow for the 49ers in a game like this one. Samuel is not expected to miss the rest of the season, but without him the Niners are not quite as unpredictable, which will help Washington keep up.
✅ At 7-6-1 on the season, Washington is just a half-game ahead of the Seahawks and Lions for the final NFC playoff spot. Because of that, they will play with a heightened sense of urgency, especially compared to a Niners team that has its division locked up.
NFL
Washington Football Team
San Francisco 49ers
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
WAS | Passing | SF |
---|---|---|
356 | CMP | 410 |
550 | ATT | 621 |
64.7 | CMP% | 66.0 |
202.4 | YDS/GM | 214.2 |
6.8 | Y/A | 6.4 |
5.8 | NY/A | 5.4 |
15 | INT | 22 |
43 | SK | 48 |
Defense/Offense
WAS | Passing | SF |
---|---|---|
400 | CMP | 336 |
597 | ATT | 491 |
67.0 | CMP% | 68.4 |
254.9 | YDS/GM | 257.9 |
7.6 | Y/A | 9.3 |
6.8 | NY/A | 8.4 |
11 | INT | 12 |
38 | SK | 34 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
WAS | Rushing | SF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
477 | ATT | 369 |
2061 | YDS | 1525 |
121.2 | Y/G | 89.7 |
4.3 | Y/A | 4.1 |
13 | TD | 10 |
0.8 | TD/G | 0.6 |
Defense/Offense
WAS | Rushing | SF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
430 | ATT | 499 |
1775 | YDS | 2389 |
104.4 | Y/G | 140.5 |
4.1 | Y/A | 4.8 |
14 | TD | 27 |
0.8 | TD/G | 1.6 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
WAS | Special Teams | SF |
---|---|---|
16 | Punts/Ret | 22 |
134 | Punt/Yds | 220 |
8.4 | Punt/Y/R | 10.0 |
36 | Kick Off/Ret | 32 |
904 | Kick Off/Yds | 746 |
25.1 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 23.3 |
Defense/Offense
WAS | Special Teams | SF |
---|---|---|
27 | Punts/Ret | 34 |
244 | Punt/Yds | 273 |
9.0 | Punt/Y/R | 8.0 |
30 | Kick Off/Ret | 20 |
643 | Kick Off/Yds | 437 |
21.4 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 21.9 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
WAS | Scoring | SF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
13 | RshTD | 10 |
21 | RecTD | 20 |
28 | FGM | 29 |
33 | FGA | 33 |
19.7 | Pts/G | 17.5 |
Defense/Offense
WAS | Scoring | SF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
14 | RshTD | 27 |
34 | RecTD | 33 |
27 | FGM | 21 |
29 | FGA | 25 |
25.5 | Pts/G | 28.9 |
Team Advanced Defense
WAS | Defense | SF |
---|---|---|
31.0% | Bltz% | 18.0% |
10.2% | Hrry% | 5.4% |
9.2% | QB Hit% | 10.0% |
24.2% | QB Prss% | 21.0% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Armani Rogers | TE | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Chase Roullier | C | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Chris Paul | G | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Cole Holcomb | LB | Foot | Out | 12/24/22 |
Daniel Wise | DT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
J.D. McKissic | RB | Neck | Out | 12/24/22 |
Kamren Curl | S | Ankle | Out | 12/24/22 |
Nolan Laufenberg | G | Undisclosed | Out | 12/24/22 |
Phidarian Mathis | DT | Torn Meniscus | Out | 12/24/22 |
Saahdiq Charles | OT | Concussion | Out | 12/24/22 |
Sam Howell | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Tariq Castro-Fields | CB | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Tyler Larsen | C | Kneecap | Out | 12/24/22 |
Curtis Hodges | TE | Thigh | Questionable | 12/24/22 |
Andrew Norwell | G | Shoulder | Probable | 12/24/22 |
Antonio Gibson | RB | Foot | Probable | 12/24/22 |
Benjamin St-Juste | CB | Ankle | Probable | 12/24/22 |
Brian Robinson Jr. | RB | Quad | Probable | 12/21/22 |
Chase Young | DE | Knee (acl) | Probable | 12/23/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Deebo Samuel | WR | Ankle/knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Dontae Johnson | CB | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Drake Jackson | DL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Elijah Mitchell | RB | Knee (mcl) | Out | 12/24/22 |
Emmanuel Moseley | CB | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Hassan Ridgeway | DL | Pectoral | Out | 12/24/22 |
Jason Verrett | CB | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | Foot | Out | 12/24/22 |
Jordan Matthews | TE | Leg/knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Kerry Hyder Jr. | DL | Ankle | Out | 12/24/22 |
Kevin Givens | DL | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Maurice Hurst | DL | Bicep | Out | 12/24/22 |
Nick Zakelj | OL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Ross Dwelley | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Trey Lance | QB | Ankle | Out | 12/24/22 |
Brock Purdy | QB | Oblique/rib | Questionable | 12/23/22 |
Javon Kinlaw | DT | Knee | Questionable | 12/23/22 |
Kalia Davis | DL | Undisclosed | Questionable | 12/24/22 |
Ambry Thomas | CB | Ankle | Probable | 12/24/22 |
Arik Armstead | DL | Ankle/foot | Probable | 12/23/22 |
Charvarius Ward | CB | Concussion | Probable | 12/24/22 |
Christian McCaffrey | RB | Knee | Probable | 12/23/22 |
Danny Gray | WR | Hamstring | Probable | 12/21/22 |
Jordan Mason | RB | Hamstring | Probable | 12/24/22 |
Samuel Womack III | CB | Concussion | Probable | 12/21/22 |
Tarvarius Moore | DB | Knee | Probable | 12/24/22 |
Betting Trends
WAS | Betting Trends | SF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-1-1 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
17 | Avg Score | 29.67 |
17.67 | Avg Opp Score | 12.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-0-1 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
25 | Avg Score | 27 |
17 | Avg Opp Score | 8 |
WAS | Betting Trends | SF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-1-1 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-0-0 |
21.2 | Avg Score | 28 |
16.8 | Avg Opp Score | 9.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-0-1 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
20.8 | Avg Score | 25.2 |
14.8 | Avg Opp Score | 16.8 |
WAS | Betting Trends | SF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
6-3-1 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
6-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
19.2 | Avg Score | 26.7 |
16.9 | Avg Opp Score | 16.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
5-4-1 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
5-4-1 | ATS W/L/P | 8-2-0 |
19.4 | Avg Score | 26.5 |
22.5 | Avg Opp Score | 14.6 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Washington Commanders
The Washington Commanders suffered a tough loss last week, falling to the New York Giants on Sunday Night Football. Thanks to a stout Giants defense, and a couple of missed calls on Washington’s final drive, the Commanders dropped from sixth to seventh in the NFC standings. Now, Washington has virtually no margin for error as they look to remain in playoff position.
This week, the Commanders play another high-level defense, as the 49ers have the best total defense in the NFL. Taylor Heinicke will need to be more productive than he was for the Giants, and the offensive line of the Commanders has to be better than it was on Sunday night.
San Francisco 49ers
The San Francisco 49ers brought the Brock show on the road last week, and crushed the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday Night Football. San Francisco’s defense held Seattle to just 13 points, while Brock Purdy did just enough to keep his team moving to outscore the Seahawks. This week, Purdy and the Niners return home where they look to bolster their seeding in the NFC.
For San Francisco, defense is once again going to be the key to this game. If they can string together early stops and put pressure on Taylor Henicke, the Commanders could find themselves in an insurmountable hole before they know it.
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