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Tennessee Titans vs Detroit Lions Prediction & Picks 10/27/2024
Titans vs Lions Betting Odds
Spread: | Tennessee Titans 11, Detroit Lions -11 |
Over/Under: | 45.5 |
Moneyline: | Tennessee Titans 450, Detroit Lions -570 |
Tennessee Titans vs Detroit Lions Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Tennessee Titans - 18% | Tennessee Titans - 16% |
Detroit Lions - 82% | Detroit Lions - 84% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Tennessee Titans vs Detroit Lions Betting Preview
It was quite the blowout the last time these two teams played. The road Titans won by double digits, defeating the Lions 46-25 in Week 15 of 2020.
Tennessee's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #32 in the league with a mere 213 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #1-worst in football with 140 yards per game. And when a defense doesn't have to worry about the pass, they can key in on the run, which has led to just 3.9 yards per carry for the Titans -- bottom 10 in the league. This represents a particular disadvantage for Tennessee given that the Lions have excelled in stopping the pass this year, allowing just 6.75 yards per target (#3-best in the league). In terms of their defense, the Titans have ranked #1 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 183 yards per game through the air against them (#30 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #28 with 3.93 yards per carry. Tennessee has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to a 67.8% completion rate (#5-lowest). Positionally, perhaps their worst defensive asset has been their defensive tackles, which rank just #29 in the league in terms of getting to the passer.
Detroit's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #2 in football at 346 yards per game. The quality of their rushing attack has led to much of their success. The Lions 5.15 yards per carry ranks #6-best in the NFL. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Detroit's 8.66 yards per target puts them #2 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Lions check in at #15 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 247 yards per game against Detroit this year (#6 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #26 against them with 4.32 yards per ground attempt. This Lions defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, allowing them to complete just 75.4% of their passes (#2-lowest in the league). Detroit's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 192 yards per game (#2-worst in the league).
Tennessee Titans vs Detroit Lions Prediction
Final Score: Tennessee Titans 16.96 vs Detroit Lions 29.13
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