The New Orleans Pelicans (6-21) look to snap their 12-game losing streak when they clash against the Brooklyn Nets (14-12) at Smoothie King Center. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 17, 2019, and will air on YES Network.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 230.5 points with Brooklyn set as a 1-point favorite.
Brooklyn Nets vs. New Orleans Pelicans ATS Prediction
In the Nets’ last matchup, they thoroughly outplayed the Philadelphia 76ers, 109-89, as 4-point underdogs. The game’s total points (198) were well under the projected point total of 220.5. The Nets held the 76ers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.2 (below their season average of 23.3). The 76ers had a free throw rate of 0.116 (below their season average of 0.200). Brooklyn rallied around DeAndre Jordan, who recorded 13 points and 11 rebounds.
The Pelicans were beaten by the Orlando Magic in their last outing, 130-119, despite being 1-point favorites. The game’s combined points (249) came in well over the O/U total of 216.5. Orlando made good use of their 26 trips to the free throw line, making 21 of them (80.8 percent). New Orleans, meanwhile, was just 6-12 (50.0 percent). With 29 points on 12-for-20 shooting, Jrue Holiday was the game’s leading scorer.
This is the second game of the season between these two squads. Kyrie Irving had 39 points and nine assists in the first matchup, in which the Nets beat the Pelicans 135-125, covering as 3.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 260 points, which was 20.5 points above the projected point total of 239.5 points. The Nets knocked down 21 of their 28 free throws (75.0 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (29.3 vs. 23.3).
Brooklyn heads into the contest with records of 14-12 straight up (SU) and 14-11-1 against the spread (ATS). Nets games have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, New Orleans is 6-21 SU and 8-17-2 ATS. Contrary to Brooklyn, a little over half of Pelicans games have finished over the projected point total.
The offensive glass could be a major edge for Brooklyn in this matchup. The Nets rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (24.7 percent), while New Orleans ranks 17th in defensive rebounding percentage (77.5 percent).
Brooklyn Nets at New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under
Brooklyn is 6-6-1 ATS on the road with 6 overs, 6 unders and 1 push.
New Orleans is 5-9 ATS at home with 8 unders and 6 overs.
Brooklyn is 3-0 when they allow under 100 points.
The Nets are 14-10 when they score above 100 points, while the Pelicans are 6-18.
Brooklyn ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (51.9) while New Orleans ranks 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.9).
The Nets rank sixth in second chance points per game (14.4) while the Pelicans rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.7).
Brooklyn ranks fifth in rebounds per game (48.0) while New Orleans ranks 24th in rebounds allowed per game (46.4).
The Nets rank third in assists allowed per game (21.7) while the Pelicans rank 22nd (25.3).
Brooklyn ranks 11th in fast break points allowed per game (12.6) while New Orleans ranks 26th (15.4).
The Nets rank sixth in three pointers attempted per game (37.1) while the Pelicans rank 20th in three pointers allowed per game (34.6).
Brooklyn ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0) while New Orleans ranks 27th (19.6).
The Pelicans rank 19th in blocks per game (4.8) while the Nets rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
In its last five outings, Brooklyn is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
New Orleans is 0-4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Nets have outscored opponents by an average of 3.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Brooklyn has scored an equal number of points as their opponents.
During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 105.4 points per game (7.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 121.6 points per game (1.5 above their season average).