Greg Hardy vs Serghei Spivac Fight Odds
Serghei Spivac -210 vs Greg Hardy
Fight is at heavyweight and is -225 to end inside the distance.
This heavyweight matchup is not a high end one per se, but it is absolutely one that will see the holes in one of these fighters games lead to a finish.
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Starting on the Greg Hardy side, he remains just a massive heavyweight with real power. He came into fight week at 290 lbs and will still have to cut to 266 lbs for weigh ins. He will have 2” of both height and reach, a weight advantage and a huge power edge in the stand up. We have seen Serghei Spivac taken out by big strong strikers in the past. Walt Harris and Tom Aspinall had their way with him. Hardy has that same knock out path to victory in this matchup. He needs to land flush on Spivac before Spivac can get to his wrestling.
On the other side, Spivac has sometimes been able to counter a huge power disadvantage with a wrestling and ground and pound game. His submission game is not absent either, and he will be completely tasked with getting the fight to the floor before his lights are put out. Once on the floor, Spivac has a huge advantage and will be able to dominate positionally. This will lead to ground and pound that Hardy will eventually have no answer for. There is simply a massive divide in grappling experience and know how between these two fighters. It is why Spivac is favored in this fight, albeit at too wide of a figure.
As mentioned, I think we get a knock out one way or the other. Hardy will either notch that knock out in the stand up or Spivac will take it down and get one on the floor. There really are not that many different ways this fight can play out, and all roads lead to a finish. The fight’s -225 ITD line is a far cry from what I expected to see and I see massive value there. I truly expected a figure north of -400. That will be a play as one of these fighter’s reinserts themselves into the top 10 conversation in the division.
Betting Pick: Fight ends ITD -225
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