It looked like the New York Yankees were on their way to taking a 2-1 series lead in Game 3 of the ALDS on Saturday night. But the Cleveland Guardians stormed back from a two-run deficit in the bottom of the ninth inning to steal Game 3 at home and take a 2-1 lead of their own. In our MLB betting picks for Sunday, we look at Yankees vs Guardians Game 4, as the Yankees are just one game away from elimination.
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Yankees vs Guardians Game 4 Betting Pick
MLB
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
Team Records
NYY | Team Records | CLE |
---|---|---|
12-5 | Home | 11-6 |
12-8 | Road | 12-7 |
19-7 | vRHP | 16-12 |
5-6 | vLHP | 7-1 |
10-6 | vs>.500 | 12-8 |
14-7 | vs<.500 | 11-5 |
7-3 | Last10 | 5-5 |
12-8 | Last20 | 12-8 |
18-12 | Last30 | 19-11 |
Team Stats
NYY | Team Stats | CLE |
---|---|---|
4.06 | ERA | 3.76 |
.231 | Batting Avg Against | .240 |
1.25 | WHIP | 1.27 |
.276 | BABIP | .286 |
8.8% | BB% | 8.3% |
23.5% | K% | 21.3% |
73.2% | LOB% | 74.3% |
.232 | Batting Avg | .250 |
.402 | SLG | .380 |
.709 | OPS | .693 |
.307 | OBP | .313 |
Pitchers
G. Cole | C. Quantrill | |
---|---|---|
156.1 | Innings | 67.0 |
25 | GS | 13 |
10-3 | W-L | 2-6 |
2.76 | ERA | 6.45 |
9.56 | K/9 | 5.10 |
2.42 | BB/9 | 2.96 |
0.86 | HR/9 | 1.07 |
80.7% | LOB% | 61.7% |
9.8% | HR/FB% | 9.6% |
3.33 | FIP | 4.90 |
3.69 | xFIP | 5.37 |
.213 | AVG | .296 |
26.6% | K% | 12.4% |
6.7% | BB% | 7.2% |
3.74 | SIERA | 5.46 |
Recent Starts
Date | Opp | W/L | IP | H | R | ER | SO | BB | ST-PC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4/30 KC | Hernandez ML N/A | W3-0 TOTAL N/A | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 57-91 |
4/19 DET | Alexander ML N/A | W4-2 TOTAL N/A | 1.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 37-68 |
4/13 TOR | Berrios ML N/A | L4-6 TOTAL N/A | 5.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 54-85 |
4/8 BOS | Eovaldi ML N/A | W6-5 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 42-68 |
10/5 BOS | Eovaldi ML N/A | L2-6 TOTAL N/A | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 30-50 |
Date | Opp | W/L | IP | H | R | ER | SO | BB | ST-PC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/27 KC | Kowar ML N/A | W8-3 TOTAL N/A | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 57-94 |
9/21 KC | Lynch ML N/A | W4-1 TOTAL N/A | 6.2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 61-102 |
9/15 MIN | Jax ML N/A | W12-3 TOTAL N/A | 6.2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 59-100 |
9/9 MIN | Albers ML N/A | W4-1 TOTAL N/A | 7.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 72-109 |
9/3 BOS | Eovaldi ML N/A | L5-8 TOTAL N/A | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 63-99 |
Betting Trends
NYY | Betting Trends | CLE |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
3.67 | Avg Score | 3.67 |
3.67 | Avg Opp Score | 3.67 |
AWAY | HOME | |
0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
3 | Avg Score | 3 |
4.33 | Avg Opp Score | 2 |
NYY | Betting Trends | CLE |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
3 | Avg Score | 2.8 |
3.6 | Avg Opp Score | 2.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
3.4 | Avg Score | 4.6 |
3.6 | Avg Opp Score | 2.2 |
NYY | Betting Trends | CLE |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
3.3 | Avg Score | 3.8 |
2.8 | Avg Opp Score | 3.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
4.5 | Avg Score | 4.1 |
3.8 | Avg Opp Score | 3.2 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 7:07 PM ET on Sunday, October 16, 2022.
Why Bet The Guardians:
✅ The Yankees simply do not have the bullpen arms to keep up with the Guardians at this point in time. New York’s bullpen relinquished the lead against the Guardians last night despite having a multi-run lead. Meanwhile, the Guardians have locked down both the Yankees and the Rays in their postseason games and will continue to have success here.
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✅ Gerrit Cole is on the mound for the Yankees, and Cole could be what leads to the Yankees undoing here. He was great in the first game of this series against the Guardians. But he is inconsistent and is going on short rest this time around. That is going to be a problem, as he will be outclassed by Cal Quantrill in Cleveland here.
✅ Aaron Judge made his first impact in the MLB playoffs this year, hitting a home run in Game 3 against Cleveland. But that was not enough to overcome the shortcomings of the Yankees roster elsewhere, as the lack of lineup depth combined with the rocky bullpen still allowed Cleveland to pick up the victory. In this game, Judge will not do enough to carry the Yankees to a fifth and final game of this series.
New York Yankees
The New York Yankees went on the road and took a 5-3 lead late against the Guardians in Game 3 of the ALDS. But their bullpen betrayed them in the end, allowing three runs in the final inning to go behind 2-1 in this series. Now the Yankees face elimination in this contest, and their excellent season could be all for naught with one more loss to Cleveland.
For the Yankees, the key to this game is going to be getting some kind of contributions from the lower portion of their lineup. Even with Judge going deep in Game 3, that was not enough for the Yankees to come away with a win. Players at the bottom of the order need to step up in Yankees vs Guardians Game 4 to give them a chance to win here.
Cleveland Guardians
The Cleveland Guardians are one win away from facing off with the Houston Astros in the ALCS after stealing Game 3 at home on Saturday night. The resilience of the Guardians was on full display in that contest, as the Guardians came back from multiple two-run deficits to win the game in the ninth. Here, the Guardians will rely on Cal Quantrill to try and bring this series home.
Quantrill was decent against the Yankees in Game 1 of this series, but was beaten as the Guardians scored just one run in that contest. Here, Quantrill will need to outperform Gerrit Cole to finish this series off at home. If he cannot do that, a Game 5 in the Bronx could be in the cards.