The Milwaukee Brewers take on the Boston Red Sox in a three-game interleague series finale at Fenway Park in Boston, so here’s the best Brewers vs Red Sox betting pick for Sunday, July 31, 2022. The Brewers outlasted the Sawx 4-1 in the opener this past Friday, while the middle game of this set is not included in the analysis.
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Brewers vs Red Sox Betting Pick
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday, July 31, 2022.
Why Bet The Brewers:
✅ Milwaukee got things going at the plate in July, scoring 114 runs across 22 contests while posting a solid .247/.334/.426 triple-slash with 31 home runs and 35 doubles. The Brewers are slashing an excellent .268/.371/.494 across 164 at-bats in the last seven days.
✅ The Red Sox’s offense is having a terrible month. Boston has scored just 93 runs in its previous 25 contests while hitting a poor .233/.282/.385 across 855 at-bats. In the last seven days of action, the Red Sox have posted an underwhelming .654 OPS and .227 batting average.
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✅ The Red Sox’s bullpen has tossed a thumping 114 innings so far this month. It has registered a pedestrian 5.53 ERA, 4.37 FIP, .326 BABIP, and 4.9 BB/9. Since the All-Star break, Boston’s relievers have a hideous 7.61 ERA.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers extended their winning streak to three games with that 4-1 victory at Fenway Park. Milwaukee improved its record to 56-44 for the season, sitting atop of the NL Central three games above the St. Louis Cardinals.
Aaron Ashby will toe the rubber Sunday in Boston. The 24-year-old left-hander is 2-8 with a 4.38 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and 92/33 K/BB ratio in 13 starts and six relief appearances (76 innings pitched) in 2022. Over his previous four outings, Ashby has compiled a 3.63 ERA, 3.64 FIP, and 19/6 K/BB ratio across 17.1 innings of work. He ranks in the 74th percentile in expected slugging percentage and the 78th percentile in hard-hit percentage.
Boston Red Sox
The injury-depleted Red Sox dropped to 50-51 on the season following Friday’s defeat to the Brew Crew. It was their sixth loss in eight showings since the All-Star break, and the Sawx were trailing the bottom wild card in the American League by three and a half games. Josh Winckowski will get the starting call Sunday.
The 24-year-old rookie right-hander is 3-5 with a pedestrian 5.18 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in eight starts (40 IP) this season. Winckowski has been awful in his previous three appearances, surrendering 14 earned runs on 16 hits and eight free passes across 14 frames of work. He ranks in the 25th percentile in expected slugging percentage and the 7th percentile in strikeout percentage.