In our MLB predictions for Saturday, we’re breaking down the AL West showdown from T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington, to find out the best Astros vs Mariners betting pick, tips, and odds. Houston and Seattle continue their three-game set with the middle contest, and the Astros open as firm -173 moneyline favorites. According to BetMGM Sportsbook, Houston sits at +425 to win the pennant, while Seattle is a long shot at +1700.
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Astros vs Mariners Betting Pick
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 9:10 PM ET on Saturday, April 16, 2022.
Why Bet The Astros:
✅ Chris Flexen will face off against the Astros on Saturday, hoping to bounce back from his rough season opener. Last Monday, the 27-year-old righty allowed three earned runs on five hits and three walks in 4.1 frames of a 4-0 loss at Minnesota. Flexen is 0-3 with a terrible 7.78 ERA in four career starts against Houston. He met the Astros three times in 2021, yielding ten earned runs on 27 hits across 15.2 frames of work.
✅ The current Astros are killing it against Flexen, posting a .344/.354/.474 slash line in 58 at-bats. Yordan Alvarez is 2-for-5 with a home run and four RBIs, and he should return to the Astros’ lineup after missing a couple of games due to a stomach bug. Houston has scored 24 runs in its first six games of the new season, and the Astros will look to get things going when they square off against Chris Flexen.
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✅ Justin Verlander took a tough loss last Saturday, throwing five innings of a one-run ball in a 2-0 defeat at the Los Angeles Angels. The 39-year-old right-hander allowed only three hits, including a solo homer to Jared Walsh, while punching out seven. Verlander will look to bounce back in a favorable matchup with Seattle. The current Mariners are only 6-for-43 against the veteran righty.
Houston Astros
The Astros haven’t impressed at the plate thus far. They’ve scored three or fewer runs in four of their first six games of the season. Houston has relied on its pitching staff, recording the lowest ERA in baseball (1.69) to go with a 1.14 WHIP (6th in the majors) and .207 batting average against (tied-8th).
On paper, the Stars’ bullpen is one of the best in the league. Houston’s relievers are sporting a 1.75 ERA and 3.14 FIP while striking out 10.9 per nine innings. Ryan Pressley (2.70 ERA; 1.50 WHIP) has already registered three saves.
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners entered the Astros series off a 5-1 victory at the Chicago White Sox. Logan Gilbert threw one unearned run through five excellent innings, while the Mariners’ offense slugged three home runs to stop the team’s four-game losing streak.
Seattle has struggled at the plate so far this season. The Mariners have scored only 21 runs in their first seven games, posting a poor .192/.292/.338 batting line. At least, the M’s are fifth in the majors in walks (31).