Marina Rodriguez vs Amanda Lemos Fight Odds
Marina Rodriguez -220 vs Amanda Lemos
Fight is five rounds at 115 lbs and is -125 to end inside the distance.
Amanda Lemos will step into her second main event, and as a warranted underdog. Lemos got herself back on track after her first round loss to Jessica Andrade two fights. Andrade finished Lemos against the cage with a standing arm triangle. That outcome is somewhat embarrassing to allow to happen, but Lemos did get a submission finish of her own in the follow up against Michelle Waterson.
Lemos does pack power and is dynamic and technical. That said she is not a fighter that maintains the activity level required at the highest level and is overly reliant on early finishes. That dynamism to earn finishes has served her well as she worked her way up the ranks. It is at this top level where is will likely fail her. Her activity level and cardio level have not been demonstrated at the level they need to be to be able to compete in this matchup.
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Marina Rodriguez on the other hand already has high profile wins on her resume. She has beaten three fighters in the division that have seen the main event spotlight in each of her last three fights. Rodriguez is a great striker that keeps a good volume pace throughout her fights. She has ample but not massive power, but uses it well. She does need to load her shots for them to have the desired effect. Rodriguez is going to win the volume war in this fight, and that could be by a truly significant margin over five rounds. Rodriguez will be the better conditioned fighter, and that will become progressively apparent as this fight progresses. The more the volume, pace and lands of Rodriguez add up, the less resistance Lemos will be able to muster. The championship rounds are truly going to tilt to Rodriguez.
I will admit I am not a massive fan of the -220 price tag on Rodriguez, but it is difficult to see the paths to victory for Lemos outside of a flash KO. Even if Lemos puts extra volume out in the early portion of the fight and somehow manages to take two early rounds, it will not be enough to notch the win. The championship rounds are going to belong to Rodriguez. So much so that I would be remiss to not mention at least checking out Rodriguez in Round 4 and in Round 5 prop offerings. This is a line that does not feel perfect when making the wager, but knowing we only truly have to avoid the flash KO of a fighter that has never been finished, it is far less daunting. Take Rodriguez to win another main event and call for the next title shot.