Grant Dawson vs Mark O Madsen Fight Odds
Grant Dawson -225 vs Mark O Madsen
Fight is at 155 lbs and is +155 to end inside the distance.
If you like a heavy wrestling and grappling affair, this is certainly the fight for you. Mark O Madsen’s background is extremely high end in Greco-Roman wrestling. That has been his base in MMA, but he has gotten a late start in MMA. The 38 year old reached the UFC just three years ago after just eight pro fights. He has had perfect success, going 4-0 in the octagon.
We have seen some development in his striking but he has been mostly reliant on takedowns and control. He will be entering by far the most difficult matchup of his career, and the betting line reflects that. There are some things really working against Madsen in this fight. The first is his style of wrestling. It does not transfer perfectly to MMA. He was also be at both grappling and cardio disadvantages in what will be a very grappling heavy fight.
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Grant Dawson is also a wrestler. Much like Madsen, we have seen his striking develop. In that aspect, I do not believe there will be an advantage for either fighter. Dawson will also be looking to get the fight down. He will be more traditional in his approach. Dawson will also be more relentless. He will be looking to get the fight to the area where there is the largest advantage for either fighter, on the mat. While both fighters are truly quality wrestlers, albeit with differing styles, Dawson has the superior BJJ game. He will do much more quality work on top following his takedowns. If he is taken down, he will be the fighter that can return to his fight, sweep or initiate a rewrestle. Dawson will also have a fairly large cardio advantage as this fight progresses. We have seen Madsen fight through exhaustion, but it will not matter when Dawson is simply fresher.
We are going to see a good deal of control time for Dawson throughout this fight. The fight will also progressively tilt his way the longer it goes. The longer the fight goes and the more grueling the pace, the better it will suit Dawson. It is difficult to identify the path to finishing the fight for Madsen, but the same cannot be said for Dawson. Dawson will be live to finish on the floor throughout. He will also certainly be the fresher fighter after those first two rounds, and the fighter with the skill set to take the top control, in a fight where that will be the deciding factor. -225 is a value on Dawson in this spot.
Betting Pick: Grand Dawson -225
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