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Sparks vs Aces Betting Pick
This game will be played at Michelob Ultra Arena at 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, July 23, 2022.
The Las Vegas Aces are sitting in the top-two in the WNBA this season. The Los Angeles Sparks have not enjoyed quite as successful a season, but they are still in the top-eight in the playoff hunt. Here, they face off in a reunion between Liz Cambage and her old team. In our WNBA picks for Saturday night, we break down Sparks vs Aces from the desert.
Why Bet The Over:
✅ The LA Sparks have the second worst defensive rating in the WNBA so far this season. Only the Indiana Fever have been worse in 2022. The Aces, meanwhile, have the best offensive rating in the WNBA. Las Vegas will put up plenty of points, forcing the Sparks to play quickly to try and make up the difference, helping the over.
✅ The Aces have not been great defensively in their own right. They rank sixth in defensive rating this season, and have been vulnerable even against bad teams like the New York Liberty. The Sparks should be able to do their part to help the over get home despite their struggles throughout portions of this season on the offensive end.
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✅ Sparks games have had a tendency to go over the total throughout the 2022 WNBA season. They are 16-10 to the over on the season, thanks in large part to their poor defensive numbers. Expect them to move to 17-10 to the over on the year here.
Los Angeles Sparks
The LA Sparks have won two games in a row coming into the weekend. They have moved into sixth place in the league standings, giving themselves a game advantage over the ninth place Dallas Wings. Here, the Sparks go back on the road after a seven-game homestand, and face one of the toughest tests in the WNBA against the Las Vegas Aces.
Defense will be the key to this contest for the Sparks, which has not meant good things for them so far this year. The Sparks rank 11th of 12 teams in defensive rating, and they will need to work to limit the explosive guards of the Aces here.
Las Vegas Aces
The Las Vegas Aces got back on track against the Indiana Fever earlier this week, beating them by 13 in a game that was not as close as the final score indicated. Here, the Aces look to slow down former Ace Liz Cambage and the rest of the Sparks. Scoring will practically be a given for the Aces in this matchup, but the defense of the Aces has been less consistent.
In the last few weeks, we have seen the Aces fail to string together enough stops to beat the Liberty and Dream at home. Las Vegas was a heavy favorite in both of those games, but lost them both outright. While the Aces are expected to have another big offensive showing here, they could still fall to the Sparks if they do not dig in on the defensive end.