Travis Kelce NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers on Sep 29, 2024
Travis Kelce Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 49.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 49.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.8% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (34.7 per game) since the start of last season.
Our trusted projections expect Travis Kelce to notch 6.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
With an impressive 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Travis Kelce stands among the best TEs in the pass game in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A running game script is implied by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
The projections expect the Chiefs to call the 3rd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, allowing an average of 2.89 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 9th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection For Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Travis Kelce is projected to have 51.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Travis Kelce Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -135
- Receptions 4.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.8% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (34.7 per game) since the start of last season.
Our trusted projections expect Travis Kelce to notch 6.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
Travis Kelce rates as one of the leading TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 5.4 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
A running game script is implied by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
The projections expect the Chiefs to call the 3rd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 9th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection For Travis Kelce Receptions Prop Bet
Travis Kelce is projected to have 5.1 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
