T.J. Hockenson projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Jacksonville Jaguars on Nov 10, 2024
T.J. Hockenson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: 110
- Receptions 3.5 under: -143
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.9% pass rate.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
In this week's contest, T.J. Hockenson is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.4 targets.
With a remarkable 6.0 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) since the start of last season, T.J. Hockenson rates as one of the leading TEs in the pass game in the NFL.
This year, the porous Jaguars pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 79.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 8th-highest rate in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.8 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect T.J. Hockenson to be a much smaller part of his team's pass attack in this game (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (23.1% in games he has played).
Projection For T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop Bet
T.J. Hockenson is projected to have 3.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
T.J. Hockenson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 32.5 over: -112
- Receiving Yards 32.5 under: -117
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.9% pass rate.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
In this week's contest, T.J. Hockenson is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.4 targets.
T.J. Hockenson has notched a staggering 62.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.
T.J. Hockenson ranks as one of the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 61.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.8 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect T.J. Hockenson to be a much smaller part of his team's pass attack in this game (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (23.1% in games he has played).
T.J. Hockenson checks in as one of the worst tight ends in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 6th percentile.
Projection For T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
T.J. Hockenson is projected to have 40.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
