Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Jan 7, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks 1/7/2025

  • Date: January 7, 2025
  • Venue: Chase Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 9.5 (-110), Golden State Warriors -9.5 (-110)
Over/Under:218
Moneyline:Miami Heat 330, Golden State Warriors -410


Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 22%Miami Heat - 32%
Golden State Warriors - 78%Golden State Warriors - 68%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (17-17) face off against the Golden State Warriors (18-17) on Tuesday night at 10:00 PM ET, with the game taking place at Chase Center. This matchup comes as a back-to-back for the Heat, who played just a day prior, making fatigue a key factor that could impact their performance. Traveling cross-country and across two time zones adds to the challenges for the Heat, as they look to snap a three-game losing streak after falling to the Sacramento Kings 123-118 in their last outing.

On the other side, the Warriors are also struggling, having lost 14 of their last 20 games, including a recent defeat to the Kings, where they were blown out 129-99. Despite their recent woes, Golden State enters this contest as significant favorites, boasting a spread of -9.5 and a moneyline of -400. The Warriors have an implied win probability of 77%, while the Heat's chances sit at 23%, reflecting the challenges Miami faces in this matchup.

With the Heat's players likely feeling the effects of a demanding travel schedule and limited rest, the odds appear stacked against them. Conversely, the Warriors will aim to take advantage of their home court, looking to regain momentum amidst a disappointing stretch. Bettors should consider both teams' recent performances and the implications of fatigue as they analyze this intriguing matchup.


Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 107.59 vs Golden State Warriors 113.94

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-110
61% MIA
-9.0/-110
39% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+305
10% MIA
-384
90% GS

Total Pick Consensus

216.5/-108
15% UN
216.5/-112
85% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
GS
43
Games
44
39.7
FG
40.3
87.1
FGA
88.2
.456
FG%
.457
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.9
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.365
3Pt%
.360
25.5
2Pt-FG
26.7
48.2
2Pt-FGA
50.3
.528
2Pt%
.531
17.2
FT
17.0
21.7
FTA
21.7
.791
FT%
.781
9.5
ORB
10.6
34.2
DRB
34.4
43.7
TRB
45.0
26.3
AST
26.2
8.3
STL
7.6
3.8
BLK
6.1
13.3
TOV
14.7
15.8
PF
17.3
110.8
PTS
111.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
GS
43
Games
44
41.3
FG
41.0
89.3
FGA
91.7
.462
FG%
.446
13.7
3Pt-FG
15.4
38.0
3Pt-FGA
42.1
.360
3Pt%
.366
27.6
2Pt-FG
25.5
51.3
2Pt-FGA
49.6
.538
2Pt%
.514
14.2
FT
14.0
18.1
FTA
19.5
.788
FT%
.718
11.2
ORB
12.8
34.7
DRB
33.7
45.9
TRB
46.5
27.1
AST
28.6
7.2
STL
8.7
5.2
BLK
5.3
14.2
TOV
14.3
17.7
PF
19.3
110.5
PTS
111.4

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
GS
.537
eFG%
.535
12.1
TOV%
13.1
21.5
RB%
76.1
.197
FT/FGA
.193

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
GS
.539
eFG%
.531
12.7
TOV%
12.5
75.4
RB%
27.1
.159
FT/FGA
.153

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
43
Games
44
40.5
FG
40.6
88.8
FGA
88.8
.456
FG%
.457
14.5
3Pt-FG
13.8
39.6
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.365
3Pt%
.360
26.0
2Pt-FG
26.9
49.1
2Pt-FGA
50.7
.528
2Pt%
.531
17.5
FT
17.1
22.1
FTA
21.9
.791
FT%
.781
9.7
ORB
10.6
34.9
DRB
34.7
44.5
TRB
45.3
26.8
AST
26.4
8.5
STL
7.7
3.8
BLK
6.2
13.6
TOV
14.8
16.1
PF
17.4
112.9
PTS
112.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
43
Games
44
42.1
FG
41.3
91.0
FGA
92.4
.462
FG%
.446
14.0
3Pt-FG
15.5
38.7
3Pt-FGA
42.4
.360
3Pt%
.366
28.1
2Pt-FG
25.7
52.2
2Pt-FGA
50.0
.538
2Pt%
.514
14.5
FT
14.1
18.4
FTA
19.7
.788
FT%
.718
11.4
ORB
12.9
35.4
DRB
33.9
46.8
TRB
46.8
27.6
AST
28.8
7.3
STL
8.7
5.3
BLK
5.3
14.4
TOV
14.4
18.0
PF
19.5
112.6
PTS
112.2

MIA
Analytics
GS
22
Pythag Wins
22
21
Pythag Losses
22
0.28
Margin Of Victory
0.05
112.9
O Rtg
112.2
112.6
D Rtg
112.2
97.0
Pace
99.0
.249
FTr
.213
.446
3PAr
.459
.573
TS%
.555

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA GS
MIA GS
Consensus
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-111)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-109)
-7.0 (-109)
+9.0 (-109)
-9.0 (-112)
+7.0 (-105)
-7.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA GS
MIA GS
Consensus
+225
-278
+305
-384
+225
-278
+310
-395
+215
-260
+315
-400
+205
-250
+295
-375
+228
-285
+310
-400
+225
-275
+310
-400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
216.5 (-111)
216.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
217.0 (-112)
217.0 (-108)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
216.5 (-112)
216.5 (-109)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
216.5 (-105)
216.5 (-115)
219.5 (-105)
219.5 (-115)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)

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