Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Props

James Cook Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

James Cook projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts on Nov 10, 2024

James Cook Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 14.5 over: -125
  • Carries 14.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect James Cook to accumulate 13.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Among all running backs, James Cook grades out in the 88th percentile for carries this year, making up 59.1% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bills to run on 41.7% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bills have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Colts defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection For James Cook Carries Prop Bet

James Cook is projected to have 13.4 Carries in this weeks game.


James Cook Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 64.5 over: -117
  • Rushing Yards 64.5 under: -112

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect James Cook to accumulate 13.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Among all running backs, James Cook grades out in the 88th percentile for carries this year, making up 59.1% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.

With an excellent rate of 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (81st percentile), James Cook places as one of the top pure runners in football this year.

This year, the shaky Colts run defense has given up a massive 146.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-worst in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bills to run on 41.7% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bills have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

James Cook checks in as one of the worst running backs in the league at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging just 2.83 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 25th percentile.

Projection For James Cook Rushing Yards Prop Bet

James Cook is projected to have 60.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


James Cook Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 14.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (62.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bills.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect James Cook to accrue 3.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

When it comes to air yards, James Cook ranks in the towering 96th percentile among running backs this year, accruing an astounding 6.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more impressive than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

James Cook's 17.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 86th percentile for RBs.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bills have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.

James Cook's 21.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season illustrates a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 27.0 rate.

The Colts pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 7.07 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

Projection For James Cook Receiving Yards Prop Bet

James Cook is projected to have 20.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


James Cook Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: 130
  • Receptions 2.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (62.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bills.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect James Cook to accrue 3.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

James Cook's 17.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 86th percentile for RBs.

James Cook's 87.4% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a material boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 83.8% rate.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bills have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.

Projection For James Cook Receptions Prop Bet

James Cook is projected to have 2.5 Receptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+500
-
+550
Consensus
-
+420
-
+420
Consensus
-
+350
-
+350
Consensus
+104
-138
+104
-138
Consensus
-
+230
-
+220
Consensus
-
+180
-
+185
Consensus
-
+460
-
+470
-
+550
-
+550
-
+420
-
+410
-
+350
-
+330
-
-120
-
-120
-
+210
-
+230
-
+180
-
+180
-
+460
-
+460
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
16
16
17
17
16
16
17
Consensus
+102
-127
-107
-133
+100
-125
-108
-133
+100
-130
-110
-130
+105
-130
-105
-135
-
-114
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-
+105
-135
-105
-130
+105
-130
+100
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
86
88
87
85
84
21
20
85
86
87
88
84
20
21
86
88
87
85
84
21
20
85
86
87
88
84
20
21
Consensus
-117
-119
-116
-117
-117
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-117
-115
-116
-117
-120
-
-
-115
-113
-115
-118
-115
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-114
-113
-113
-114
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-115
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-114
-114
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+12000
+12000
+12000
+14000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
11
11
10
10
11
11
10
Consensus
-121
-112
-117
-109
-114
-106
-110
-108
-127
-127
-127
-121
-123
-117
-117
-108
-120
-105
-105
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
15
17
14
1
16
15
17
14
1
16
15
17
14
1
16
15
17
14
1
Consensus
-118
-120
-112
-124
-
-120
-109
-117
-106
-
-114
-118
-114
-120
-
-116
-109
-114
-110
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
+168
-
-
-
-
-205
-
-
-
-
+164
-
-
-
-
-192
-111
-121
-
-131
-
-123
-113
-
-109
-
-123
-125
-
-125
-
-121
-113
-
-104
-
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-
-
-120
-120
-120
-
-
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-110
-
-
-110
-
-113
-
-
-110
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
+162
-
-
-
-
-205
-
-
-
-
+162
-
-
-
-
-215
-120
-125
-110
-120
-
-120
+100
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-115
-120
-
-115
-110
-120
-110
-
-130
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
15
16
15
16
15
16
15
16
Consensus
-130
-
-109
-
-119
-
-110
-
-120
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-130
-
+106
-
-110
-
-110
-
-130
-
-105
-
-125
-
-110
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
16
67
66
68
69
65
16
17
66
67
68
69
65
17
16
67
66
68
69
65
16
17
66
67
68
69
65
Consensus
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-118
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-113
-113
-113
-112
-
-
-
-111
-109
-116
-117
-
-
-
-116
-121
-113
-111
-
-
-
-113
-114
-115
-118
-
-
-
-117
-127
-117
-109
-
-
-
-125
-117
-125
-125
-
-
-
-109
-117
-109
-109
-
-
-
-117
-125
-117
-125
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-110
-
-
-
-105
-110
-120
-120
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-105
-115
-115
-120
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-
-110
-115
-120
-120
-
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-110
-
-
-
-115
-110
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+428
+426
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
2
3
2
3
2
3
2
Consensus
+126
-
-180
-
+127
-
-173
-
+136
-
-179
-
+143
-
-199
-
+135
-
-190
-
+140
-
-190
-
+130
-184
-170
+140
+130
-156
-170
+142
+120
-
-175
-
+125
-
-175
-
+230
-
-170
-
+140
-
-175
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2000
+2100