Jay Sanin on December 19, 2024
Daniel Bellinger projections and prop bets for New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons on Dec 22, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The New York Giants may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be starting backup quarterback Drew Lock.
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Giants, who are giant -8.5-point underdogs.
Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 6th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the New York Giants.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The Giants offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Daniel Bellinger's 3.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a noteworthy regression in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.3% figure.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.6%) to tight ends this year (69.6%).
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's unit has been great this year, ranking as the 6th-best in football.
Daniel Bellinger is projected to have 21 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
The New York Giants may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be starting backup quarterback Drew Lock.
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Giants, who are giant -8.5-point underdogs.
Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 6th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the New York Giants.
Daniel Bellinger's 100.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a noteable gain in his receiving ability over last year's 89.4% rate.
The Giants offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.6%) to tight ends this year (69.6%).
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's unit has been great this year, ranking as the 6th-best in football.
Daniel Bellinger is projected to have 2.3 Receptions in this weeks game.
