D'Andre Swift projections and prop bets for Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders on Oct 27, 2024
D'Andre Swift Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 17.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 17.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Bears rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 61.9% pass rate.
At only 28.05 seconds per snap, the Chicago Bears offense checks in as the 9th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.
With an elite 56.0% Route Participation% (93rd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift ranks among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.
In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is anticipated by the projections to place in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.0 targets.
D'Andre Swift has posted significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
When talking about air yards, D'Andre Swift ranks in the measly 9th percentile among RBs this year, with just -5.0 per game.
This year, the daunting Commanders defense has yielded a measly 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-best in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus RBs this year, giving up 5.51 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in football.
Projection For D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop Bet
D'Andre Swift is projected to have 20.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
D'Andre Swift Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 57.5 over: -105
- Rushing Yards 57.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At only 28.05 seconds per snap, the Chicago Bears offense checks in as the 9th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.
In this game, D'Andre Swift is predicted by the projection model to land in the 87th percentile among running backs with 16.7 carries.
Out of all running backs, D'Andre Swift grades out in the 88th percentile for carries this year, comprising 58.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
D'Andre Swift has generated 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the league when it comes to running backs (76th percentile).
This year, the imposing Washington Commanders run defense has given up a mere 4.97 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 26th-smallest rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Bears rank as the 10th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 38.1% run rate.
D'Andre Swift's running efficiency has worsened this season, notching a mere 3.54 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.34 figure last season.
With a dreadful record of 2.09 yards after contact (2nd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift ranks among the least efficient running backs in the NFL.
Projection For D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop Bet
D'Andre Swift is projected to have 63.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
