Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts

Nov 3, 2024

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings
  • Overview
  • Props

T.J. Hockenson Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

T.J. Hockenson projections and prop bets for Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings on Dec 1, 2024

T.J. Hockenson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 48.5 over: -142
  • Receiving Yards 48.5 under: 104

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to accrue 7.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.

The Minnesota O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

T.J. Hockenson's 81.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a remarkable boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 75.2% figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

This game's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a lowly 56.5 per game on average).

T.J. Hockenson has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (54.0 per game) than he did last season (63.0 per game).

This year, the daunting Cardinals defense has conceded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a puny 6.9 yards.

Projection For T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop Bet

T.J. Hockenson is projected to have 55.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


T.J. Hockenson Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 4.5 over: -110
  • Receptions 4.5 under: -118

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to accrue 7.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.

The Minnesota O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

T.J. Hockenson's 81.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a remarkable boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 75.2% figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

This game's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a lowly 56.5 per game on average).

T.J. Hockenson's 42.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 51.5.

T.J. Hockenson's play as a receiver has tailed off this year, averaging just 5.1 adjusted catches vs 6.2 last year.

Projection For T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop Bet

T.J. Hockenson is projected to have 5.2 Receptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • First Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • First Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-295
+208
-280
+209
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+1100
Consensus
-
+500
-
+500
Consensus
-
+480
-
+490
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1200
Consensus
-
+950
-
+900
Consensus
-
+750
-
+700
-
+250
-
+230
-
+1100
-
+1100
-
+500
-
+500
-
+490
-
+490
-
+1400
-
+1200
-
+900
-
+900
-
+700
-
+700
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+160
+155
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
18
17
18
17
18
17
18
Consensus
-115
-106
-116
-123
-124
-107
-112
-125
-123
-108
-108
-125
-127
-109
-117
-127
-104
-
-118
-
-108
-
-120
-
-125
-105
-110
-125
-125
-105
-110
-125
Open
Current
Book
Over
Over
20
20
Consensus
+475
+475
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1850
+1875
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
39
38
37
40
41
4
41
39
38
37
40
4
39
38
37
40
41
4
41
39
38
37
40
4
Consensus
-114
-114
-117
-
-
-
-
-116
-113
-112
-
-
-113
-116
-119
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-112
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-113
-119
-119
-
-
-
-
-121
-121
-115
-
-
-113
-113
-119
-
-
-
-
-121
-115
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-125
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-105
-
-
-115
-120
-125
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-105
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-110
-115
-120
-110
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-120
-
-115
-120
-120
-110
-
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+5750
+8833
+19000
+16000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
4
4
4
Consensus
-133
+105
-127
+102
-145
+100
-137
-103
-130
+105
-135
+100
-132
+102
-132
+102
-130
-105
-140
+105
-130
+100
-140
+105