Alvin Kamara projections and prop bets for New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Chargers on Oct 27, 2024
Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 54.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 54.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At the present time, the 5th-most run-focused offense in football (43.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Saints.
The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to call the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The projections expect Alvin Kamara to total 17.5 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
After taking on 53.6% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Alvin Kamara has played a bigger part in the running game this season, currently accounting for 65.8%.
Alvin Kamara has picked up 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (82nd percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Saints are a huge 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Alvin Kamara comes in as one of the weakest running backs in the NFL at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 2.23 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 10th percentile.
The opposing side have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 108.0 per game) vs. the Chargers defense this year.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's collection of DTs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the league.
Projection For Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Alvin Kamara is projected to have 67.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
