Aaron Jones projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams on Oct 24, 2024
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -115
- Receptions 3.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.
With an outstanding 3.4 adjusted catches per game (94th percentile) this year, Aaron Jones has been as one of the best running backs in the pass game in the NFL.
This year, the porous Rams pass defense has given up a massive 92.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 4th-worst rate in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
Projection For Aaron Jones Receptions Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 3.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 68.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 68.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
In this week's contest, Aaron Jones is expected by the projections to finish in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.4 carries.
Aaron Jones has received 55.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Aaron Jones's 78.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a noteable gain in his rushing talent over last season's 61.0 rate.
This year, the porous Rams run defense has been gouged for a monstrous 155.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 2nd-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At the present time, the 8th-least run-centric team in the league (36.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.
The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.
Projection For Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 65 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 15.5 over: -120
- Carries 15.5 under: -109
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
In this week's contest, Aaron Jones is expected by the projections to finish in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.4 carries.
Aaron Jones has received 55.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Los Angeles Rams linebackers project as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
At the present time, the 8th-least run-centric team in the league (36.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.
The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.
Projection For Aaron Jones Carries Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 14.7 Carries in this weeks game.
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 24.5 over: -125
- Receiving Yards 24.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.
Aaron Jones's 37.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year reflects a remarkable growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 20.0 rate.
This year, the porous Rams pass defense has given up a massive 92.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 4th-worst rate in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
Projection For Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 26.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
