Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Jan 4, 2025

San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs Pick For 1/4/2025

  • Date: January 4, 2025
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Denver Nuggets -3 (-110), San Antonio Spurs 3 (-110)
Over/Under:236.5
Moneyline:Denver Nuggets -140, San Antonio Spurs 120


Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 56%Denver Nuggets - 9%
San Antonio Spurs - 44%San Antonio Spurs - 91%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets (19-14) face off against the San Antonio Spurs (18-16) on Saturday night at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center. This matchup marks a back-to-back game for both teams, which could pose challenges given the lack of rest. The Nuggets played yesterday and are coming off a tough loss to the Spurs, falling 113-110 in a game where they were favored by 6.0 points. This recent defeat highlights the potential for an upset, especially considering the Spurs' current momentum at home, having won their last three games on their own floor.

Despite the Nuggets' solid performance overall, winning 18 of their last 30 games, they enter this game as slight favorites with a spread of Nuggets -2.5. The Nuggets have an implied win probability of 56%, while the Spurs sit at 44%. The betting landscape suggests that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under, believing it to be mispriced, particularly in the player prop market surrounding Russell Westbrook's Points and Assists, currently set at Under 19.5 (-125).

Both teams will need to manage fatigue effectively as they look to capitalize on their strengths. While the Nuggets have shown resilience, the Spurs' recent home success could play a crucial role in this matchup. As the game approaches, all eyes will be on how these factors influence the outcome, especially given the backdrop of their previous encounter.


Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 117.07 vs San Antonio Spurs 132.61

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.0/-108
65% DEN
+3.0/-112
35% SA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-145
76% DEN
+123
24% SA

Total Pick Consensus

236.0/-108
30% UN
236.0/-112
70% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
SA
40
Games
39
44.9
FG
42.1
89.9
FGA
92.6
.500
FG%
.454
11.9
3Pt-FG
13.4
31.0
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.382
3Pt%
.352
33.1
2Pt-FG
28.7
58.9
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.562
2Pt%
.527
18.3
FT
14.3
24.1
FTA
18.3
.759
FT%
.784
11.0
ORB
11.8
34.5
DRB
33.8
45.4
TRB
45.7
30.9
AST
25.6
8.6
STL
8.6
4.8
BLK
4.6
14.4
TOV
13.3
18.2
PF
18.4
120.0
PTS
112.0

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
SA
40
Games
39
43.1
FG
40.4
93.0
FGA
88.8
.464
FG%
.455
13.8
3Pt-FG
13.7
39.1
3Pt-FGA
40.1
.353
3Pt%
.343
29.3
2Pt-FG
26.7
53.9
2Pt-FGA
48.8
.544
2Pt%
.547
16.0
FT
17.2
20.9
FTA
21.6
.769
FT%
.794
11.6
ORB
11.0
31.5
DRB
34.6
43.0
TRB
45.6
29.3
AST
28.5
9.1
STL
7.6
5.6
BLK
6.9
14.1
TOV
14.4
20.0
PF
16.3
116.0
PTS
111.7

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
SA
.566
eFG%
.527
12.6
TOV%
11.7
25.9
RB%
74.5
.204
FT/FGA
.155

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
SA
.538
eFG%
.532
12.1
TOV%
12.7
74.9
RB%
24.6
.172
FT/FGA
.193

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
SA
40
Games
39
44.2
FG
42.4
88.3
FGA
93.3
.500
FG%
.454
11.6
3Pt-FG
13.5
30.5
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.382
3Pt%
.352
32.5
2Pt-FG
28.9
57.8
2Pt-FGA
54.8
.562
2Pt%
.527
18.0
FT
14.4
23.7
FTA
18.4
.759
FT%
.784
10.8
ORB
11.9
33.9
DRB
34.1
44.6
TRB
46.0
30.4
AST
25.8
8.5
STL
8.7
4.7
BLK
4.6
14.2
TOV
13.4
17.8
PF
18.6
117.9
PTS
112.8

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
SA
40
Games
39
42.4
FG
40.7
91.4
FGA
89.5
.464
FG%
.455
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.4
3Pt-FGA
40.3
.353
3Pt%
.343
28.8
2Pt-FG
26.9
52.9
2Pt-FGA
49.1
.544
2Pt%
.547
15.7
FT
17.3
20.5
FTA
21.8
.769
FT%
.794
11.4
ORB
11.1
30.9
DRB
34.9
42.3
TRB
46.0
28.8
AST
28.7
8.9
STL
7.6
5.5
BLK
7.0
13.9
TOV
14.5
19.6
PF
16.4
114.0
PTS
112.5

DEN
Analytics
SA
25
Pythag Wins
19
15
Pythag Losses
20
4.00
Margin Of Victory
-0.23
117.9
O Rtg
112.5
114.0
D Rtg
112.8
100.7
Pace
98.8
.268
FTr
.244
.345
3PAr
.451
.597
TS%
.568

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN SA
DEN SA
Consensus
-1.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-105)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-111)
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-112)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-107)
+1.5 (-108)
-3.0 (-107)
+3.0 (-114)
-2.0 (-105)
+2.0 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DEN SA
DEN SA
Consensus
-140
+115
-145
+123
-142
+120
-142
+120
-124
+106
-144
+122
-125
+106
-139
+117
-140
+118
-145
+122
-140
+115
-150
+125
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-111)
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
236.0 (-112)
236.0 (-108)
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
236.5 (-108)
236.5 (-112)
237.5 (-112)
237.5 (-109)
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
239.0 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
239.5 (-110)
236.5 (-105)
236.5 (-115)