Offense meets defense when the Washington Wizards (6-10) head to Los Angeles to take on the Lakers (16-2). The game will air on NBATV at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 29, 2019.
Los Angeles is an 11.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 234 points.
Washington Wizards vs. Los Angeles Lakers Free Prediction
The Wizards come in on a high note after beating the Phoenix Suns in their last contest, 140-132, as 6.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (272) were well over the O/U total of 239.5. Washington’s 0.680 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Phoenix, who had a rate of 0.597. The Wizards’ mark was above their season average of 0.545. Washington was led by Bradley Beal, who was the top scorer from either team with 35 points on 11-for-18 shooting.
In the Lakers’ previous outing, they beat the New Orleans Pelicans, 114-110, but were unable to cover as 6.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (224) finished under the O/U total of 231. Los Angeles’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over New Orleans. The Lakers had a rate of 13.5 (worse than their season average of 12.8), while the Pelicans posted a mark of 16.4. Anthony Davis was the game’s leading scorer with 41 points on 15-for-30 shooting from the field.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, the Lakers won 124-106. The Lakers’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Wizards. Los Angeles had a rate of 31.7, while Washington posted a mark of 22.0.
Washington has an outstanding record against the spread (11-5), despite being 6-10 straight up (SU). Wizards matchups tend to go over the total (56.3 percent).
Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 16-2 SU and 10-8 ATS. Unlike Washington, Lakers games tend to go under the O/U total (55.6 percent).
Los Angeles figures to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Lakers rank seventh in offensive efficiency, while the Wizards rank 30th in defensive efficiency.
Washington Wizards at Los Angeles Lakers ATS Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
Washington is 7-2 ATS on the road with 5 overs and 4 unders.
At home, Los Angeles is 6-3 ATS with 5 unders and 4 overs.
Washington is 2-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Los Angeles is 6-0.
The Wizards are 5-10 when they score more than 100 points, while the Lakers are 13-2.
Los Angeles ranks third in points in the paint per game (53.0) while Washington ranks 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.4).
The Lakers rank fourth in assists per game (26.5) while the Wizards rank 28th in assists allowed per game (26.4).
Los Angeles ranks first in blocks per game (7.4) while Washington ranks 24th (4.2).
The Lakers rank fifth in fast break points per game (15.6) while the Wizards rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (14.3).
Los Angeles ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.4) while Washington ranks 19th (46.1).
The Lakers rank third in second chance points per game (15.5) while the Wizards rank 16th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
Los Angeles averages 8.4 steals per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Washington ranks 10th in steals allowed per game (7.3).
The Lakers rank sixth in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while the Wizards rank 10th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.6).
In its last five contests, Washington is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Wizards have outscored opponents by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Washington has lost by an average of 1.4 points.
During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 115.8 points per game (3.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.2 points per game (7.6 above their season average).