We at ATS are getting you ready for the 2022-2023 NBA season with a preview of each division. The Southeast Division is next up on our list. We will have a synopsis for each team in the division as well as the best season-long betting picks for that division.
The early portion of the season has not been kind to the Heat or Hornets. They have dealt with extensive injury issues and both currently sit below .500. While this has not been kind to either of our overs on their win totals, both are very much still in play to improve as the season progresses and they get healthier. The Hornets in particular have just gotten Lamelo Ball back in the lineup.
The Hawks are the team we were utterly correct on so far. They lead the division and are pacing quite well for their win total. The addition of Dejounte Murray is everything we thought it would be. The Magic have started slow and are having growing pains, but are still pacing just fine to hit their wins over.
In terms of current lines, no team in the division currently has a win total offering. The Hawks have spiked all the way to -235 to win the division, so we unfortunately cannot press our action on them. We will have to settle for the massive preseason value.
Last Season’s Southeast Division Results
The Heat were the runaway winner in the Southeast Division last season. Their 53-29 record was good enough to finish 10 games ahead of both the Hawks and the Hornets. Both the Wizards and Magic were quite distant from division or playoff contention.
Risk Free Bet
Southeast Division Betting Odds
Southeast Division Best Bets
Hornets Over 36.5 Wins
Magic Over 26.5 Wins
Hawks Over 45.5 Wins
Heat Over 48.5 Wins
Hawks Division +170
NBA Southeast Division Team Previews
Below are each team’s odds to win the Atlantic Division from Caesars sportsbook with their season win total and a short betting preview for the upcoming season.
|Southeast Team||Division Win Odds||Win Totals|
The Heat were the division champs last season, albeit with little competition inside the division. They return their core this season, with the exception of gritty defender PJ Tucker on the interior. After Bam Adebayo, this team is completely lacking at the 4 and 5 spots. Adebayo may not be their best player, but he is the most important if the Heat are to make any deep playoff run. The Heat have depth at guard and wing spots, and are going to obviously be a playoff team one again. The question is, have they been caught by the improved Hawks as best team in the division? Laying a minus figure on the Heat to win the division is not an attractive proposition. However, the over on 48.5 wins is quite attainable for the 53 win team from a season ago.
The Hawks have made the largest step forward of any team in the division this offseason. They made the biggest splash in terms of an acquisition, bringing in high end combo guard Dejounte Murray. He and Trae Young will now form one of the best backcourts in the entire league. With Deandre Hunter on the wing and John Collins combined with Clint Capela inside, the Hawks have become a true threat in the East. With Bogdanovich, Okongwu and Holiday coming off the bench, this team truly has the pieces to make a large leap forward. Multiple injuries would be the undoing, but this team is just deep enough to form a truly winning culture, even if missing a key piece for a stretch. The Hawks are the best value to win the division at +170 and are an attractive over bet on 45.5 wins.
The Hornets opted to stand pat after a 43 win season that saw them make the play-in portion of the playoffs. They return Lamelo Ball and Terry Rozier in the backcourt. Gordon Hayward , Kelly Oubre and PJ Washington will also return, but Miles Bridges is a question mark due to legal issues. They hope to have drafted the future of their interior in Mark Williams. The Hornets project to be quite similar to what they were last season. They will not compete for the division but will compete for a playoff spot. There is an attractive bet on the Hornets, as their win total is set at just 36.5. The expectation should be this team to finish on the good side of .500 once again, and they are a very attractive over bet.
The Wizards seem to have pieces in place to be more competitive, but there is something about the build of this team that does not bring any awe-inspiring feeling. Bradley Beal will continue to be their go to player. He will be complemented by Kristaps Porzingis, Kyle Kuzma and a plethora of role players. They brought in Will Barton to solidify their wing, but he is not a difference making type of player. He was bolstered by Jokic for many years in Denver, and is just an adequate starter. This is also a team that has dealt with injury stints, and likely will again. I am steering clear of the 35.5 win total.
The Magic are an extremely talented, yet extremely young team. Their 22 win season was worst in the East last year, as there were growing pains with a completely youthful roster. They return a plethora of recent first round picks. Those include Jalen Suggs, Franz Wagner, Cole Anthony, Markelle Fultz and now rookie Paolo Banchero. This team is likely not yet poised for a playoff run this season, but the future is bright. We will however see improvement from them this season, and their win total is set extremely low, at just 26.5. It would not take a world of improvement to get the win total there, and we will see an improvement from essentially every key player on their roster this season. Take their win total over.