We at ATS have you covered for a full preview of the 2022-2023 NBA season. We have posted a preview on each Division and Conference already. Additionally, we are also getting you primed for the award winners for the season. This piece will focus on the Rookie Of The Year. The Rookie Of The Year is awarded the Eddie Gotlieb trophy. The odds to earn that award are listed below.
Mid-December Update
The rookie of the year race has a true front runner, and the betting lines are perhaps not even giving enough credit to Paolo Banchero. His current pricing at -500 likely does not bring the true lack of competition he faces for the award truly into focus. Benedict Mathurin is still a bench player in Indiana. Despite playing admirably thus far, he is still leaps and bounds behind Banchero. The only player worth a second look at this point in time is Jaden Ivey of the Pistons. With Cade Cunningham set to miss the rest of the season and the Pistons already holding the worst record in the league, it seems it is just a matter of time before they allow Ivey to do all he can. Ivey’s +3000 price tag is the only one on the board that is playable at the moment.
NBA ROY Odds
| Player |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banchero | +200 | -650 | -950 | -900 | -900 |
| Ivey | +460 | +3300 | +4000 | +5000 | +5000 |
| Murray | +460 | +12500 | +7500 | +15000 | +12000 |
| Mathurin | +550 | +550 | +550 | +600 | +600 |
| Smith | +650 | +20000 | +24000 | ||
| Williams | +3000 | +12500 | +7500 | +10000 | +12000 |
| Dieng | +3000 | +50000 | +50000 | +50000 | +50000 |
| Agbaji | +3600 | +50000 | +40000 | +50000 | +50000 |
| Sharpe | +3600 | +50000 | +40000 | +40000 | +49000 |
| Eason | +3600 | +50000 | +30000 | +50000 | +50000 |
| Daniels | +4000 | +50000 | +30000 | +50000 | +50000 |
| Williams | +4000 | +50000 | +30000 | +50000 | +50000 |
| Griffin | +5000 | +40000 | +50000 | ||
| Hardy | +5000 | +50000 | +50000 | +50000 | +50000 |
| Branham | +5000 | +50000 | +30000 | +30000 | +49000 |
| Kessler | +5000 | +3300 | +4000 | +3500 | +3700 |
| Sochan | +6000 | +50000 | +30000 | +50000 | +50000 |
| Duren | +6500 | +50000 | +30000 | +40000 | +50000 |
| Jovic | +6500 | +50000 | +30000 | +50000 | +49000 |
| Beauchamp | +8000 | +50000 | +50000 | +50000 | +50000 |
Best Bet For Rookie Of The Year
By my view, the best bet for Rookie Of The Year boils down to a two man race between the two power forwards that will step in as immediate starters and contributors. The race was turned on its head when second overall pick Chet Holmgren was injured and lost for the season, but it was turned in a good way. We have more clarity this way.
With Holmgren out of the picture, I believe we have a two man race between the other two players selected in the top three. Top pick Paolo Banchero of the Magic is the clear betting favorite at +200. Keegan Murray of the Kings checks in next at +450, but he is a tough bet there. There is enough established talent on the Kings roster that we can guess he will not be able to fully shine in his rookie campaign. Next up we get to Jabari Smith Jr of the Rockets. His +600 price tag is wildly attractive.
Banchero rightfully receives huge regard and low pricing, unattractive pricing if we are honest. There is more talent across the roster on Orlando than there is in Houston. I fully expect a strong rookie year from him, but perhaps not as strong as Parker.
Parker is an immediate starter and high end contributor on a Rockets squad that has plenty of youth in hand, but not the high end amount the Magic possess. Only Jalen Green should be considered the level of prospect and current contributor that Parker is. Parker will be a gem for spacing, as he is a great shooter that will get no shortage of opportunities. He can create his own shot off the dribble and will have no issues posting strong statistics from his very first game forward. His post game is quite advanced for his age as well. He is also a great on ball defender that does well if switched onto a guard and always brings the intensity.
Banchero is probably the rightful favorite to win the award, but the gap in pricing between these two players is egregious. Take Parker at +600 to get the nod.
