The Denver Nuggets (12-3) put their five-game winning streak on the line when they challenge the Washington Wizards (5-9) at Pepsi Center. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 26, 2019, and will air on Altitude Sports & Entertainment.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 227 points with Denver set as a 9.5-point favorite.
Washington Wizards at Denver Nuggets Free Prediction
The last time the Wizards played, they were 2-point favorites and were defeated by the Sacramento Kings, 113-106. The game’s combined points (219) were under the projected point total of 233.5. Sacramento made good use of their 28 trips to the charity stripe, converting on 24 of them (85.7 percent). Washington, on the other hand, was 9-12 (75.0 percent). Washington’s Moritz Wagner had a good game, putting up 12 points and 11 rebounds.
The Nuggets beat the Phoenix Suns in their last game, 116-104, covering as 11-point favorites. The game’s combined points (220) were over the projected point total of 214. The Nuggets had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 39.6 (above their season average of 23.4), while the Suns had a free throw rate of 0.122 (below their season average of 0.235). With 22 points and eight rebounds, Denver’s Will Barton had a good performance.
Denver could own the offensive glass in this matchup. The Nuggets are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking third in offensive rebounding percentage at 24.5 percent. Meanwhile, Washington ranks 26th in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 74.7 percent. Additionally, the sharp-shooting offense of the Wizards ranks third in effective field goal percentage (0.550), while the Nuggets are third-best in the NBA at effective field goal percentage allowed (0.494).
Washington has an outstanding record against the spread (10-4), despite being 5-9 straight up (SU). Vegas tends to set the total low when the Wizards are involved, as eight of their 14 contests have gone over the O/U total.
Denver has an outstanding 12-3 SU record, but they have difficulty covering the spread (6-7-2 ATS). Unlike Washington, Nuggets games tend to finish under the total (73.3 percent).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Bradley Beal (37 points,8.0 assists) has been stellar for the Wizards while Paul Millsap (17 points,6.8 rebounds,1.6 steals) has contributed greatly to the Nuggets.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Wizards won the last game 95-90. The Wizards knocked down 15 of their 20 free throws (75.0 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (9.0 vs. 9.8).
Wizards at Nuggets ATS Pick
Free NBA Pick: O/U – Over
On the road, Washington is 6-1 ATS with 4 overs and 3 unders.
At home, Denver is 3-5-1 ATS with 7 unders and 2 overs.
In contests where they hold opponents under 100 points, Denver is 8-0 and Washington is 2-0.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Wizards are 4-9 and the Nuggets are 10-3.
Denver averages 25.7 assists per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Washington ranks 25th in assists allowed per game (25.9).
The Nuggets rank third in second chance points allowed per game (10.7) while the Wizards rank 19th (13.9).
Denver ranks 14th in steals per game (7.7) while Washington ranks 25th (6.6).
The Nuggets rank eighth in rebounds per game (46.9) while the Wizards rank 17th in rebounds allowed per game (45.7).
Denver ranks 16th in points in the paint per game (47.5) while Washington ranks 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.0).
The Nuggets rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.8) while the Wizards rank 10th (16.6).
Denver averages 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Washington ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.8).
The Wizards average 12.7 fast break points per game, which ranks 16th in the league. The Nuggets rank 20th in fast break points allowed per game (13.9).
Washington ranks 12th in three pointers attempted per game (34.5) while Denver ranks 13th in three pointers allowed per game (33.3).
Over its last five contests, Washington is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Denver is 3-1-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Wizards have outscored opponents by an average of 4.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Washington has been defeated by an average of 1.2 points.
During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 109.8 points per game (3.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 99.6 points per game (2.1 below their season average).