The Milwaukee Bucks (13-3) welcome the Utah Jazz (11-5) in a matchup that pits great offense against superb defense. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, November 25, 2019, and will air on NBATV.
Utah Jazz vs. Milwaukee Bucks Free Prediction
The Jazz come in on a high note after covering the 5.5-point spread against the New Orleans Pelicans in their last matchup, 128-120. The game’s combined points (248) came in well over the O/U total of 226.5. The Jazz made 29 of their 33 free throws (87.9 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.604 (above their season average of 0.516). Utah rallied around Donovan Mitchell, who was the game’s leading scorer with 37 points on 12-for-26 shooting.
In the Bucks’ previous game, they beat the Detroit Pistons, 104-90, covering as 13-point favorites. The game’s total points (194) finished well under the O/U total of 225.5. The Bucks had a better free throw rate (0.107 vs. 0.066) and held the Pistons to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.0 (below their season average of 23.0). Giannis Antetokounmpo was the game’s leading scorer with 28 points on 12-for-22 shooting from the field.
This battle pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses as Milwaukee ranks third in offensive efficiency and Utah is first in defensive efficiency. Also, the Jazz, who rank 28th in offensive rebounding percentage (18.7 percent), might struggle to get second chance points against the Bucks, who rank second in defensive rebounding percentage (81.4 percent).
Utah is 11-5 straight up (SU), but they are just 6-10 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total high when the Jazz are involved, as 11 of their 16 games have ended under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee is 13-3 SU and 8-8 ATS. Contrary to Utah, games including the Bucks tend to go over the total (56.3 percent).
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Bojan Bogdanovic scored a game-high 33 points and the Jazz defeated the Bucks 103-100, covering as 2-point underdogs. He also put up five rebounds. The game finished with a total of 203 points, which was 14.5 points below the projected point total of 217.5 points. Utah made 15 of their 36 three pointers (41.7 percent). Milwaukee was, on the other hand, 10-36 (27.8 percent).
Jazz vs. Bucks Odds Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under
Milwaukee ranks seventh in second chance points per game (14.3) while Utah ranks 29th (9.6).
Milwaukee ranks 13th in assists per game (24.6) while Utah ranks 27th (20.7).
The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (51.9) while the Jazz rank 14th (45.7).
Utah is 2-5 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 3-3 ATS at home.
In its last five games, Utah is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Milwaukee is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.8, down from 4.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 118.6 points per game (1.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.0 points per game (4.2 below their season average).