The San Antonio Spurs (20-26) take on the Utah Jazz (32-14) at the AT&T Center. The game is scheduled to begin at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 29, 2020.
Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction
The Jazz failed to cover as 14.5-point favorites in their 126-117 loss to the Houston Rockets in their last contest. The combined points for the game (243) finished well over the projected point total of 220.5. Houston’s 14.3 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Utah, who had a mark of 5.6. The Rockets’ mark was below their season average of 24.1, while the Jazz’s was below their season average of 21.3. Donovan Mitchell led Utah in scoring with 36 points on 14-for-25 shooting.
The last time the Spurs took the court, they let one slip away to the Chicago Bulls, 110-109, but were able to cover as 2-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (219) came in over the O/U total of 213.5. Chicago’s 8.3 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over San Antonio, who had a mark of 10.2. The Bulls’ mark was better than their season average of 12.8. DeMar DeRozan put together a good performance for San Antonio, leading both teams in scoring with 36 points on 11-for-21 shooting.
San Antonio could put on a ball-control clinic in this matchup. San Antonio ranks fifth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.3 percent), while Utah forces the third-fewest turnovers (11.9 percent).
Utah comes into the contest with records of 32-14 straight up (SU) and 24-20-2 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of the Jazz’s games have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, San Antonio owns records of 20-26 SU and 18-26-2 ATS. Spurs games have typically gone over the total (58.7 percent).
After the Jazz won two out of three contests against the Spurs last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. In the last game, Utah won 125-105. The Jazz’s 22.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Spurs, who had a mark of 10.4.
Jazz vs. Spurs Betting Pick
NBA Tip: ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over
On the road, Utah is 12-11-1 ATS with 12 overs and 12 unders.
San Antonio is 7-17 ATS at home with 13 overs, 10 unders and 1 push.
San Antonio is 1-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Utah is 12-1.
When scoring over 100 points, the Jazz are 31-9 and the Spurs are 20-21.
Utah ranks first in assists allowed per game (20.7) while San Antonio ranks 26th (25.6).
The Jazz rank third in three pointers allowed per game (31.0) while the Spurs rank 26th (35.2).
San Antonio ranks seventh in blocks per game (5.7) while Utah ranks 28th (4.1).
The Jazz rank 13th in points in the paint per game (48.2) while the Spurs rank 28th (43.6).
San Antonio ranks 11th in fast break points per game (14.2) while Utah ranks 26th (10.5).
The Jazz rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.0) while the Spurs rank 17th (45.7).
Neither of these teams are great at stealing the ball. San Antonio is 26th in the league with 6.7 steals per game while Utah is 29th with 6.0 steals per game.
The Jazz rank 26th in second chance points per game (11.9) while the Spurs rank 29th (11.3).
San Antonio ranks 26th in points off turnovers per game (15.0) while Utah ranks 27th (14.7).
Over its last five games, Utah is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
San Antonio is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 16.2, up from 5.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 111.0 points per game (2.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.6 points per game (2.7 below their season average).