The Houston Rockets will be at home in Toyota Center when they meet the Utah Jazz to open the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 213.5 points with Houston opening as a 6-point favorite. Action gets underway at 9:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 14, 2019, and it can be seen on TNT.

Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets Free Preview

These two teams have already met four times this season, each winning twice. In the most recent contest, Harden scored a game-high 43 points and the Rockets beat the Jazz 125-98, covering as 7-point underdogs. He also put up 12 rebounds and six steals. The two teams combined for 223 points, which was just 1.5 points above the projected point total of 221.5 points. The Rockets played a nearly perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.9 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.546. The Jazz recorded marks of 16.4 and 0.424, respectively, for those same stats.

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The game should be a battle of strength against strength as the high-octane offense of Houston (second in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 113.3) takes on the stingy defense of Utah (second in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 103.7). Additionally, the Jazz, who rank fourth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.217), will go head-to-head against the Rockets, who rank 25th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.210).

Of Utah’s 82 games, 42 have finished under the projected point total, while 41 of Houston’s 82 games have finished under the projected point total. Both teams have respectable straight up (SU) records (50-32 for Utah; 53-29 for Houston), but the Jazz hold a slight edge against the spread (ATS). Utah is 44-36-2 ATS, while the Rockets are 40-39-3.

Jazz vs. Rockets Free Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

Utah ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (49.8) while Houston ranks 29th (42.1).

Houston ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (18.0) while Utah ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).

The Jazz rank second in fast break points allowed per game (11.4) while the Rockets rank 15th (13.8).

Houston is 23-16-2 ATS at home, while Utah is 23-17-1 ATS on the road.

Bettings Trends:

Houston is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push in its last five games.

Over its past five outings, Utah is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 23.2, up from 4.8 for the season.

During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 120.2 points per game (8.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.8 points per game (5.3 above their season average).