Toronto Raptors

Toronto Raptors

Nov 29, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks 11/29/2024

  • Date: November 29, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Toronto Raptors 8 (-110), Miami Heat -8 (-110)
Over/Under:219
Moneyline:Toronto Raptors 260, Miami Heat -310


Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Toronto Raptors - 27%Toronto Raptors - 6%
Miami Heat - 73%Miami Heat - 94%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Toronto Raptors, currently holding a 5-14 record, are set to face off against the 8-8 Miami Heat in a Friday night clash at the Kaseya Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET, and all eyes are on the Heat, who are the favorites to emerge victorious.

With a spread set at Heat -7.5 and a moneyline of -310, oddsmakers are showing strong confidence in Miami's chances. The Raptors, on the other hand, have a moneyline of +260, indicating an uphill battle with an implied win probability of only 27%. The Heat's implied probability sits at a commanding 73%, a reflection of their recent form and home-court advantage.

Miami has been playing strong basketball lately, winning three of their last four outings. Their last victory was a closely contested game against the Charlotte Hornets, ending 98-94. Meanwhile, the Raptors have struggled, especially on the road, dropping nine of their last ten away games. However, they did secure a dominant 119-93 win over the New Orleans Pelicans in their most recent matchup, which could boost their morale heading into this contest.

For those interested in player prop bets, Tyler Herro's performance in points and rebounds is drawing significant attention. Bettors have shown keen interest in the Over market for Herro, with the prop total moving from Over 27.5 (-125) to 28.5 (-110) as game time approaches. This shift suggests that sharp bettors are expecting a standout performance from the Miami guard.

With the Heat's recent form and home advantage, coupled with Toronto's road woes, Miami looks poised to continue their winning ways. However, the Raptors' potential to surprise should not be completely discounted, especially after their recent emphatic victory.


Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Toronto Raptors 100.21 vs Miami Heat 121.53

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+8.0/-110
54% TOR
-8.0/-110
46% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+264
6% TOR
-328
94% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

219.5/-108
37% UN
219.5/-112
63% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

TOR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
39
Games
37
41.9
FG
40.6
90.0
FGA
88.8
.466
FG%
.457
11.5
3Pt-FG
13.5
33.2
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.347
3Pt%
.354
30.4
2Pt-FG
27.1
56.8
2Pt-FGA
50.8
.535
2Pt%
.534
15.8
FT
14.6
21.2
FTA
18.2
.744
FT%
.799
12.2
ORB
11.5
31.6
DRB
34.6
43.9
TRB
46.1
28.7
AST
26.6
8.0
STL
7.3
4.4
BLK
5.3
16.2
TOV
15.0
21.6
PF
18.6
111.2
PTS
109.3

Defense/Offense

TOR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
39
Games
37
42.2
FG
39.6
88.6
FGA
86.9
.477
FG%
.455
14.3
3Pt-FG
14.2
38.6
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.371
3Pt%
.368
27.9
2Pt-FG
25.4
50.0
2Pt-FGA
48.4
.558
2Pt%
.525
20.5
FT
17.8
26.3
FTA
22.8
.779
FT%
.781
11.6
ORB
9.5
32.2
DRB
33.9
43.7
TRB
43.5
27.1
AST
26.2
9.6
STL
9.0
5.9
BLK
3.8
14.4
TOV
13.5
18.5
PF
16.2
119.2
PTS
111.2

Offense/Defense

TOR
Four Factors
MIA
.530
eFG%
.533
14.0
TOV%
13.4
27.6
RB%
74.7
.175
FT/FGA
.164

Defense/Offense

TOR
Four Factors
MIA
.557
eFG%
.537
12.6
TOV%
12.2
73.2
RB%
21.6
.231
FT/FGA
.205

Offense/Defense

TOR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
39
Games
37
41.8
FG
41.3
89.7
FGA
90.4
.466
FG%
.457
11.5
3Pt-FG
13.7
33.1
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.347
3Pt%
.354
30.3
2Pt-FG
27.6
56.6
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.535
2Pt%
.534
15.7
FT
14.8
21.1
FTA
18.6
.744
FT%
.799
12.2
ORB
11.7
31.5
DRB
35.2
43.7
TRB
46.8
28.6
AST
27.1
7.9
STL
7.4
4.4
BLK
5.4
16.2
TOV
15.2
21.6
PF
18.9
110.7
PTS
111.2

Defense/Offense

TOR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
39
Games
37
42.1
FG
40.3
88.3
FGA
88.4
.477
FG%
.455
14.3
3Pt-FG
14.4
38.5
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.371
3Pt%
.368
27.8
2Pt-FG
25.8
49.8
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.558
2Pt%
.525
20.4
FT
18.1
26.2
FTA
23.2
.779
FT%
.781
11.5
ORB
9.7
32.0
DRB
34.5
43.5
TRB
44.2
27.0
AST
26.6
9.6
STL
9.2
5.9
BLK
3.9
14.4
TOV
13.7
18.4
PF
16.5
118.8
PTS
113.1

TOR
Analytics
MIA
11
Pythag Wins
21
28
Pythag Losses
16
-8.08
Margin Of Victory
1.86
110.7
O Rtg
113.1
118.8
D Rtg
111.2
99.6
Pace
96.9
.236
FTr
.262
.369
3PAr
.443
.559
TS%
.573

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TOR MIA
TOR MIA
Consensus
+7.0 (-108)
-7.0 (-110)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-114)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-112)
+8.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-112)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-113)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
TOR MIA
TOR MIA
Consensus
+240
-300
+264
-328
+245
-305
+270
-340
+220
-270
+275
-340
+220
-278
+260
-315
+240
-305
+275
-350
+225
-275
+260
-350
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
219.5 (-112)
219.5 (-109)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
219.0 (-112)
219.0 (-108)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
219.5 (-112)
219.5 (-108)
224.5 (-112)
224.5 (-109)
219.5 (-113)
219.5 (-108)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)