Toronto Raptors

Toronto Raptors

Nov 29, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks 11/29/2024

  • Date: November 29, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Toronto Raptors 8 (-110), Miami Heat -8 (-110)
Over/Under:219
Moneyline:Toronto Raptors 260, Miami Heat -310


Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Toronto Raptors - 27%Toronto Raptors - 6%
Miami Heat - 73%Miami Heat - 94%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Toronto Raptors, currently holding a 5-14 record, are set to face off against the 8-8 Miami Heat in a Friday night clash at the Kaseya Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET, and all eyes are on the Heat, who are the favorites to emerge victorious.

With a spread set at Heat -7.5 and a moneyline of -310, oddsmakers are showing strong confidence in Miami's chances. The Raptors, on the other hand, have a moneyline of +260, indicating an uphill battle with an implied win probability of only 27%. The Heat's implied probability sits at a commanding 73%, a reflection of their recent form and home-court advantage.

Miami has been playing strong basketball lately, winning three of their last four outings. Their last victory was a closely contested game against the Charlotte Hornets, ending 98-94. Meanwhile, the Raptors have struggled, especially on the road, dropping nine of their last ten away games. However, they did secure a dominant 119-93 win over the New Orleans Pelicans in their most recent matchup, which could boost their morale heading into this contest.

For those interested in player prop bets, Tyler Herro's performance in points and rebounds is drawing significant attention. Bettors have shown keen interest in the Over market for Herro, with the prop total moving from Over 27.5 (-125) to 28.5 (-110) as game time approaches. This shift suggests that sharp bettors are expecting a standout performance from the Miami guard.

With the Heat's recent form and home advantage, coupled with Toronto's road woes, Miami looks poised to continue their winning ways. However, the Raptors' potential to surprise should not be completely discounted, especially after their recent emphatic victory.


Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Toronto Raptors 100.21 vs Miami Heat 121.53

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+8.0/-110
54% TOR
-8.0/-110
46% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+270
7% TOR
-340
93% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

219.0/-108
20% UN
219.0/-112
80% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

TOR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
19
Games
16
42.3
FG
40.4
92.0
FGA
88.4
.459
FG%
.457
10.9
3Pt-FG
14.1
32.3
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.339
3Pt%
.360
31.3
2Pt-FG
26.3
59.7
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.525
2Pt%
.534
17.1
FT
14.3
23.4
FTA
17.9
.728
FT%
.798
14.3
ORB
11.6
32.1
DRB
34.6
46.4
TRB
46.2
28.3
AST
25.9
8.1
STL
7.3
4.9
BLK
5.7
16.2
TOV
15.4
22.9
PF
19.1
112.5
PTS
109.3

Defense/Offense

TOR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
19
Games
16
41.1
FG
39.1
89.1
FGA
88.1
.462
FG%
.444
12.6
3Pt-FG
14.6
37.1
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.340
3Pt%
.378
28.5
2Pt-FG
24.5
51.9
2Pt-FGA
49.5
.548
2Pt%
.495
21.7
FT
17.7
27.8
FTA
23.0
.782
FT%
.769
11.5
ORB
10.1
31.1
DRB
33.4
42.6
TRB
43.5
25.9
AST
25.1
9.5
STL
9.2
6.3
BLK
3.9
13.7
TOV
12.9
19.7
PF
16.4
116.6
PTS
110.4

Offense/Defense

TOR
Four Factors
MIA
.519
eFG%
.537
13.6
TOV%
13.8
31.4
RB%
74.3
.185
FT/FGA
.162

Defense/Offense

TOR
Four Factors
MIA
.533
eFG%
.526
11.9
TOV%
11.6
73.7
RB%
22.5
.244
FT/FGA
.201

Offense/Defense

TOR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
19
Games
16
42.0
FG
41.2
91.5
FGA
90.2
.459
FG%
.457
10.9
3Pt-FG
14.4
32.1
3Pt-FGA
39.9
.339
3Pt%
.360
31.1
2Pt-FG
26.8
59.3
2Pt-FGA
50.2
.525
2Pt%
.534
17.0
FT
14.6
23.3
FTA
18.3
.728
FT%
.798
14.2
ORB
11.8
31.9
DRB
35.3
46.1
TRB
47.1
28.1
AST
26.4
8.1
STL
7.5
4.9
BLK
5.8
16.1
TOV
15.7
22.8
PF
19.5
111.9
PTS
111.4

Defense/Offense

TOR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
19
Games
16
40.9
FG
39.8
88.5
FGA
89.8
.462
FG%
.444
12.6
3Pt-FG
14.8
36.9
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.340
3Pt%
.378
28.3
2Pt-FG
25.0
51.6
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.548
2Pt%
.495
21.6
FT
18.0
27.6
FTA
23.4
.782
FT%
.769
11.4
ORB
10.3
30.9
DRB
34.1
42.3
TRB
44.3
25.7
AST
25.6
9.4
STL
9.4
6.2
BLK
4.0
13.7
TOV
13.1
19.6
PF
16.7
115.9
PTS
112.5

TOR
Analytics
MIA
7
Pythag Wins
9
12
Pythag Losses
7
-4.05
Margin Of Victory
1.06
111.9
O Rtg
112.5
115.9
D Rtg
111.4
99.0
Pace
96.8
.255
FTr
.261
.351
3PAr
.438
.550
TS%
.562

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TOR MIA
TOR MIA
Consensus
+7.0 (-115)
-7.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-105)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-112)
-6.5 (-112)
+8.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-108)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-112)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-113)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
TOR MIA
TOR MIA
Consensus
+240
-300
+269
-338
+245
-305
+270
-340
+220
-270
+290
-360
+220
-278
+265
-335
+240
-305
+270
-345
+225
-275
+260
-350
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
219.0 (-109)
219.0 (-112)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
219.0 (-112)
219.0 (-108)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
224.5 (-112)
224.5 (-109)
219.0 (-108)
219.0 (-113)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
219.5 (-105)
219.5 (-115)