The Toronto Raptors (37-14) put their 12-game winning streak on the line when they challenge the Indiana Pacers (31-20) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, February 7, 2020, and will air on ESPN.
The game opens as pickem and the Over/Under (O/U) total opened at 219 points at PointsBet.
Toronto Raptors vs. Indiana Pacers ATS Prediction
Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Raptors won the most recent matchup 119-118, but were unable to cover as 6-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 237 points, which was 21.5 points above the projected point total of 215.5 points. Toronto had a much better turnover percentage (9.4 vs. 16.8). Indiana, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (21.1 vs. 17.1). Lowry recorded a double-double with 32 points and 10 assists.
Toronto heads into the contest with records of 37-14 straight up (SU) and 28-22-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Raptors’ 51 games, 27 have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Indiana owns records of 31-20 SU and 27-22-2 ATS. Games including the Pacers also have a slight tendency to finish over the O/U total (52.9 percent).
Ball security could play an integral role in this matchup. Indiana commits the fourth-fewest miscues in the league (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while the gambling defense of Toronto forces the second-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.6 percent).
Toronto Raptors vs. Indiana Pacers ATS Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
Toronto is 13-11-1 ATS on the road with 13 unders, 11 overs and 1 push.
Indiana is 12-11-2 ATS at home with 13 overs and 12 unders.
In games where they allow below 100 points, Toronto is 13-3 and Indiana is 9-2.
The Pacers are 31-12 when they score more than 100 points, while the Raptors are 35-9.
Toronto ranks seventh in three pointers attempted per game (36.2) while Indiana ranks last (27.7).
The Raptors rank second in steals per game (8.8) while the Pacers rank 23rd (7.0).
Indiana averages 26.2 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Toronto ranks 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.2).
The Raptors rank second in points off turnovers per game (20.4) while the Pacers rank 17th (16.5).
Toronto ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.7) while Indiana ranks 16th (48.2).
The Raptors rank third in fast break points per game (18.0) while the Pacers rank 17th (12.4).
Toronto ranks 12th in rebounds per game (45.5) while Indiana ranks 26th (42.5).
The Pacers average 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Raptors rank 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
Indiana ranks 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.5) while Toronto ranks 26th (14.1).
Over its last five games, Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push.
Indiana is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.6, up from 6.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 110.0 points per game (0.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.6 points per game (6.5 above their season average).