The Atlanta Hawks (10-33) square off with the Toronto Raptors (28-14) at State Farm Arena. The game can be seen on NBATV at 2:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 20, 2020.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 231 points with Toronto set as an 8-point favorite. Odds Provided by PointsBet Sportsbook.
Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction
The Raptors come in on a high note after covering the 3.5-point spread against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last outing, 122-112. The combined points for the game (234) finished over the projected point total of 224. Toronto’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Minnesota. The Raptors had a rate of 0.588 (above their season average of 0.529), while the Timberwolves posted a mark of 0.479. With 29 points on 11-for-16 shooting, Fred VanVleet was the top scorer from either team.
In the Hawks’ previous matchup, they lost big to the Detroit Pistons, 136-103. They were unable to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (239) came in over the projected point total of 227.5. Getting to the free throw line was one of Detroit’s biggest strengths. They made 25 trips to the line, while Atlanta went 15 times. With 19 points and five rebounds, De’Andre Hunter had a solid performance for Atlanta.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Pascal Siakam scored a game-high 34 points and the Raptors defeated the Hawks 119-116 but did not cover as 7-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 235 points, which was 11 points above the projected point total of 224 points. The Raptors knocked down 26 of their 30 free throws (86.7 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.6 vs. 21.1).
Toronto heads into the game with records of 28-14 straight up (SU) and 23-18-1 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Raptors have a slight tendency to go over the total (52.4 percent).
Meanwhile, Atlanta owns records of 10-33 SU and 19-24 ATS. Much like Toronto, Hawks games have a slight tendency to finish over the projected point total (53.5 percent).
The ineffective offense of Atlanta will battle against the elite defense of Toronto. The Hawks currently rank 30th in offensive efficiency, while the Raptors are second in defensive efficiency. The Raptors figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.
Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks Odds Pick
NBA Tip: ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
Toronto is 11-8-1 ATS on the road with 11 unders and 9 overs.
Atlanta is 11-9 ATS at home with 11 unders and 9 overs.
Toronto is 11-3 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Atlanta is 3-0.
When scoring over 100 points, the Raptors are 26-9 and the Hawks are 10-26.
Toronto averages 8.6 steals per game, which ranks second in the league. Atlanta ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (9.1).
The Raptors rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.4) while the Hawks rank 29th (53.5).
Toronto ranks second in points off turnovers per game (20.0) while Atlanta ranks 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.8).
The Hawks rank sixth in three pointers allowed per game (31.9) while the Raptors rank 29th (38.4).
Toronto accounts for 17.8 fast break points per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).
The Raptors average 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Hawks rank 29th in blocks allowed per game (6.4).
Toronto ranks 12th in rebounds per game (45.9) while Atlanta ranks 29th (42.3).
The Raptors rank 10th in assists per game (25.5) while the Hawks rank 21st in assists allowed per game (24.7).
Toronto averages 12.5 second chance points per game, which ranks 20th in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (14.9).
In its last five games, Toronto is 3-1-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.8, up from 5.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 106.8 points per game (0.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 117.0 points per game (0.4 below their season average).