The Philadelphia 76ers (1-1) will be at home in Wells Fargo Center when they take on the Toronto Raptors (1-1) in game three of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216.5 points with Toronto set as a 1-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, May 2, 2019, and it can be seen on ESPN.
Toronto Raptors at Philadelphia 76ers Odds Preview
In game two, these two teams combined to put up 183 points, well under the projected point total of 219.5. The 76ers won 94-89, covering as 7.5-point underdogs. The 76ers dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.316 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0. The Raptors were 0.143 and 17.0, respectively, for those same stats. Leonard was the top overall scorer in the game with 35 points.
It could be a sloppy game for the Philadelphia offense. Philadelphia ranks 26th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.0 percent), while the pesky defense of Toronto forces the ninth-most turnovers in the league (14.0 percent). Also, the Raptors’ third-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.542) will square off against the 76ers’ fifth-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.509).
Of Toronto’s 89 games, 46 have finished over the projected point total, while 44 of Philadelphia’s 89 games have finished over the projected point total. The Raptors have the clear advantage straight up (SU) (63-26 vs. 56-33), but both teams have similar against the spread (ATS) records. Toronto is 42-45-2 ATS, while Philadelphia is 43-46 ATS.
Raptors vs. 76ers Odds Prediction
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Under
The Raptors rank ninth in steals per game (8.3) while the 76ers rank 20th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
Philadelphia averages 14.3 second chance points per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Toronto ranks ninth in second chance points allowed per game (12.6).
Philadelphia ranks second in assists allowed per game (23.1) while Toronto ranks 12th (24.2).
Toronto is 21-21-1 ATS on the road, while Philadelphia is 23-21 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 23 of the Raptors’ 43 road games, while 23 of the 76ers’ 44 home games have gone over.
Philadelphia is 13-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Toronto is 19-2.
The Raptors are 59-19 when they score over 100 points, while the 76ers are 55-25.
The Raptors average 48.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks 18th in the league. The 76ers rank 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (50.8).
Toronto ranks fourth in fast break points per game (18.1) while Philadelphia ranks 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.6).
The Raptors average 17.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The 76ers rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
The 76ers rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Raptors rank sixth (4.4).
Philadelphia ranks second in rebounds per game (48.1) while Toronto ranks 17th (45.0).
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.
Over its past five games, Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.8, up from 3.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 103.4 points per game (10.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 92.6 points per game (14.5 below their season average).