The Orlando Magic (1-2) will be at home in Amway Center when they go head-to-head against the Toronto Raptors (2-1) in game four of the First Round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 207 points with Toronto opening as a 5-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 21, 2019, and it can be seen on TNT.
Toronto Raptors vs. Orlando Magic ATS Preview
In game three, these two teams combined to score 191 points, well under the projected point total of 211. The Raptors won 98-93, but were unable to cover as 5.5-point favorites. The Raptors played a nearly perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 12.5 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.511. The Magic were 15.1 and 0.444, respectively, for those same stats. Siakam recorded a double-double with 30 points and 11 rebounds.
Of Toronto’s 85 games, 45 have finished over the projected point total, while 47 of Orlando’s 85 games have finished under the O/U total. The Raptors have the superior straight up (SU) record (60-25 vs. 43-42), but the Magic hold the substantial advantage against the spread (ATS) (46-36-3 vs. 39-44-2).
Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Raptors, it’s been Pascal Siakam, who has averaged 18 points,7.6 rebounds, while the Magic have gotten great contributions from Terrence Ross (22 points).
Orlando might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they square off against one of the league’s best defenses. Toronto ranks third in defensive efficiency while the Magic rank 21st in offensive efficiency. Moreover, the Raptors rank 22nd in offensive rebounding percentage (21.7 percent), while the Magic rank third in defensive rebounding percentage (79.9 percent).
Toronto Raptors at Orlando Magic Free Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Under
The Raptors rank 18th in points in the paint per game (48.4) while the Magic rank 27th (43.7).
Orlando ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.4) while Toronto ranks ninth (5.3).
Orlando ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while Toronto ranks 10th (12.8).
Toronto is 20-21-1 ATS on the road, while Orlando is 22-17-1 ATS at home.
Of the Raptors’ 42 road games, they have 23 overs, 18 unders and 1 push.
Of the Magic’s 40 home games, they have 20 overs and 20 unders.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Orlando is 19-4 and Toronto is 16-1.
The Raptors are 56-19 when they reach 100 points, while the Magic are 39-19.
The Magic rank third in assists allowed per game (23.1) while the Raptors rank 11th (24.3).
Toronto ranks fourth in fast break points per game (18.2) while Orlando ranks 25th (10.8).
The Raptors rank ninth in steals per game (8.3) while the Magic rank 25th (6.6).
Toronto ranks ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while Orlando ranks 25th (15.1).
Orlando is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Across its past five outings, Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Magic have been outscored by an average of 3.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Orlando has defeated opponents by an average of 0.3 points.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (4.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 97.6 points per game (10.2 below their season average).