The Golden State Warriors (14-48) welcome the Toronto Raptors (43-18) to Chase Center as they try to snap their nine-game home losing streak. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 5, 2020, and will air on TNT.
Toronto is a 10.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 226 points at PointsBet NJ Sportsbook.
Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction
In the Raptors’ last contest, they covered the 4-point spread against the Phoenix Suns, 123-114. The game’s total points (237) came in over the O/U total of 225.5. The Raptors held the Suns to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.6 (below their season average of 22.2) and had a free throw rate of 0.337 (above their season average of 0.200). Chris Boucher had a good outing for Toronto, recording 19 points and 15 rebounds.
The Warriors defeated the Denver Nuggets in their last matchup, 116-100, despite being 16-point underdogs at local Colorado sportsbooks . The game’s total points (216) finished just under the O/U total of 218.5. Golden State launched 41 three pointers, making 18 of them (43.9 percent), while Denver was just 3-20 (15.0 percent). With 22 points, 10 assists and five rebounds, Andrew Wiggins had a solid game for Golden State.
Golden State might struggle to put up points as they go head-to-head against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Toronto ranks second in defensive efficiency while the Warriors rank 30th in offensive efficiency.
Toronto holds records of 43-18 straight up (SU) and 33-27-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Raptors games, with 32 overs compared to 28 unders.
Meanwhile, Golden State owns records of 14-48 SU and 28-33-1 ATS. Of the Warriors’ 62 games, 35 have finished under the total.
After the Raptors won six out of eight contests against the Warriors last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last matchup, Toronto won 114-110. The Raptors’ 11.2 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Warriors, who had a mark of 14.7.
Raptors at Warriors Pick
Free Prediction: ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
On the road, Toronto is 15-13-1 ATS with 14 overs, 14 unders and 1 push.
At home, Golden State is 11-19-1 ATS with 18 unders and 13 overs.
In contests where they hold opponents below 100 points, Golden State is 6-2 and Toronto is 14-4.
The Warriors are 14-31 when they reach 100 points, while the Raptors are 41-10.
Toronto averages 8.8 steals per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Golden State ranks 27th in steals allowed per game (8.4).
The Raptors rank second in points off turnovers per game (19.9) while the Warriors rank 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.1).
Toronto ranks second in fast break points per game (19.2) while Golden State ranks 25th in fast break points allowed per game (14.9).
The Raptors rank seventh in three pointers attempted per game (36.8) while the Warriors rank 25th (30.9).
Toronto ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.0) while Golden State ranks 18th (49.0).
The Raptors average 25.4 assists per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Warriors rank 28th in assists allowed per game (26.0).
Toronto ranks 13th in rebounds per game (45.3) while Golden State ranks 26th in rebounds allowed per game (46.7).
The Raptors rank 13th in blocks per game (5.0) while the Warriors rank 15th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
Toronto ranks 24th in second chance points per game (12.2) while Golden State ranks 26th (12.0).
In its last five games, Toronto is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.2, down from 6.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 104.2 points per game (1.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.2 points per game (4.5 below their season average).