The Sacramento Kings (20-31) take on the San Antonio Spurs (22-29) at the Golden 1 Center. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 8, 2020, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
San Antonio opened as a 2-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 224.5 points at PointsBet.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Prediction
In the Spurs’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Portland Trail Blazers, 125-117, and failed to cover as 3-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (242) were over the projected point total of 228. Portland’s 22.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over San Antonio, who had a rate of 16.3. The Trail Blazers’ mark was above their season average of 22.1, while the Spurs’ was below the 25.0 mark opponents have averaged against Portland this season. Trey Lyles led San Antonio in scoring with 23 points on 9-for-11 shooting.
The Kings were victorious over the Miami Heat in their last game, 105-97, covering as 1-point favorites. The game’s total points (202) came in well under the O/U total of 227. Sacramento’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Miami. The Kings had a rate of 13.8 (worse than their season average of 12.8), while the Heat posted a mark of 18.5 (above their season average of 12.8). Bogdan Bogdanovic led Sacramento in scoring with 23 points on 8-for-16 shooting from the field.
Second-chance opportunities might be hard to come by for Sacramento in this matchup. The Kings rank 16th in offensive rebounding percentage (22.3 percent), while San Antonio ranks fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.0 percent). Furthermore, the Spurs rank first in turnover percentage (11.8 percent), while the Kings rank fourth in opponents’ turnover percentage (14.5 percent).
San Antonio holds records of 22-29 straight up (SU) and 21-28-2 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Spurs tend to go over the O/U total (58.8 percent).
Meanwhile, Sacramento owns records of 20-31 SU and 24-26 ATS. Kings games have a slight tendency to go over the total (52.0 percent).
This is the second game of the season between these two squads. Richaun Holmes recorded 13 points, 14 rebounds and five assists in the first game, in which the Kings lost 105-104 but covered as 4.5-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 209 points, which was just 5 points below the projected point total of 214 points. San Antonio had a better effective field goal percentage (0.484 vs. 0.436). Sacramento, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (11.3 vs. 13.4).
Spurs at Kings Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Sacramento ranks ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while San Antonio ranks 27th (14.8).
Sacramento ranks 18th in assists allowed per game (24.5) while San Antonio ranks 25th (25.7).
The Kings rank 23rd in points in the paint per game (45.3) while the Spurs rank 28th (43.6).
Sacramento is 8-16 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 12-11-2 ATS on the road.
In its last five games, San Antonio is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Spurs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.4, up from 1.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 111.0 points per game (3.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.6 points per game (1.2 above their season average).